Match Info

Date: 20 December 2020, Sunday


	Gubbio		Padova

	1	X	2
	3.5	3	2.1
	3.1	2.9	2.25
	3.1	2.85	2.3
	3.1	2.95	2.2
	3.26	3.22	2.31
	3.1	3.1	2.3
	3.05	3.28	2.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (3.09)	3.04 ↑ (2.96)	2.24 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gubbio
28.9%

Draw
30.2%

Padova
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

30.5%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

20.9%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gubbio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padova than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Padova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gubbio - Padova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Gubbio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Padova will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Gubbio won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Gubbio won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
13.12.20	Carpi - Gubbio	2:2 ✺
05.12.20	Matelica - Gubbio	1:3 ✺
29.11.20	Gubbio - FeralpiSalò	1:1 ✺
25.11.20	Gubbio - Triestina	1:0 ✺
21.11.20	Perugia - Gubbio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 TWTWT
- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie C Group B
14.12.20	Padova - Triestina	0:0 ✺
06.12.20	Ravenna - Padova	1:3 ✺
29.11.20	Padova - Vis Pesaro	5:3 ✺
22.11.20	FeralpiSalò - Padova	3:1 ✺
15.11.20	Padova - Matelica	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
01.12.19	Gubbio - Padova	0:0
06.05.18	Padova - Gubbio	1:0
16.12.17	Gubbio - Padova	1:0
12.02.17	Padova - Gubbio	1:1
24.09.16	Gubbio - Padova	0:1
Italian Serie B
12.05.12	Padova - Gubbio	3:0

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