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Current Win Probability
Fatih Karagümrükspor 34.5%
Draw 29.2%
Alanyaspor 36.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.4%
30.8%
35.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.4%
31.8%
36.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Alanyaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alanyaspor than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.2%
72.7%
9.1%
Fatih Karagümrükspor - Alanyaspor Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Karagümrük will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Alanyaspor will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.4% – 99%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Beklevic F. (G) 47. Esgaio R. 4. Biraschi D. (C) 94. Cinar A. 33. Kurukalip C. 6. Elmaz B. 5. Kranevitter M. 88. Ahmed T. 8. Ozcan B. 72. Kalayci B. 23. Larsson S.
48. Paulo Victor (G) 3. Lima N. 5. Aliti F. (C) 30. Bruno Viana 94. Hadergjonaj F. 58. Maestro 42. Makouta G. 8. Keskin E. 12. Elia M. 16. Hwang Ui-Jo 11. Ruan
Substitutes
80. Babicka S. 53. Demir K. A. 24. Ersoy B. 98. Evli B. (G) 32. Kadioglu M. 20. Kalpakli T. 22. Kurucuk F. 51. Odabas O. 93. Ozmen K. 96. Yandal K. (G)
50. Akdag U. 20. Aksoy F. 25. Bulut B. 6. Celik I. 14. Hagi I. 17. Janvier N. 7. Karaca E. 27. Kaya I. 1. Taskiran E. (G) 10. Yalcin G.
Coaches
Stanojevic A.
Pereira J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Elia M. ⚽, Hadergjonaj F. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 1 - 1, Larsson S. ⚽, Kalayci B. (A),
64', Ahmed T. ↓, Babicka S. ↑,
72', Keskin E. ↓, Kaya I. ↑,
72', Makouta G. ↓, Celik I. ↑,
72', Hwang Ui-Jo ↓, Hagi I. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Larsson S. (Penalty Awarded),
81', Maestro ↓, Karaca E. ↑,
81', Bruno Viana ↓, Yalcin G. ↑,
90', Larsson S. ↓, Kurucuk F. ↑,
90', Kalayci B. ↓, Kalpakli T. ↑,
90+4', Kurukalip C. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 10).
Karagümrük is Relegated to 1. Lig
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 0.
Karagümrük has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Alanyaspor's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Karagümrük: Camacho J.
(Inactive)
Kone
(Inactive)
Sivri A.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Alanyaspor: Ozdemir Y.
(Suspended)
There are questionable in Karagümrük: Babicka S.
(Injury)
Serginho
(Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 1.1:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Karagümrük won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
Asia
Turkey
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Beklevic F. (G) 
Esgaio R. 
Biraschi D. (C) 
Kranevitter M. 
Ahmed T. 
Larsson S. 
Paulo Victor (G) 
Aliti F. (C) 
Maestro 
Makouta G. 
Elia M. 
Hwang Ui-Jo 
Babicka S. 
Akdag U. 
Janvier N. 
Stanojevic A. 
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