Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 23

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Marcolino de Castro (Santa Maria da Feira)

Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)


	Feirense		BSAD

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	4
	1.8	3.3	3.9
	1.94	3.35	3.5
	1.87	3.45	3.9
	1.92	3.65	4.19
	1.95	3.1	3.7
	1.93	3.44	3.75
	1.85	3.35	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.86)	3.38 ↓ (3.53)	3.84 ↓ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Feirense
48.9%

Draw
27.2%

BSAD
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

26.3%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

26.1%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Feirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

BSAD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feirense than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

The ML Model estimate for BSAD aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	22.2%	55.6%

Feirense - BSAD Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Feirense will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). BSAD will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for BSAD: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Feirense won 0.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

BSAD could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Feirense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Feirense won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Feirense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Feirense
Portuguese Liga 2
26.02.23	Mafra - Feirense	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Feirense - Vilafranquense	1:2 ✺
11.02.23	Leixões - Feirense	0:1 ✺
06.02.23	Feirense - Covilhã	0:2 ✺
29.01.23	Estrela da Amadora - Feirense	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLWLL
- BSAD
Portuguese Liga 2
26.02.23	BSAD - Nacional	0:1 ✺
19.02.23	Moreirense - BSAD	4:1 ✺
13.02.23	BSAD - Penafiel	2:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
08.02.23	Famalicão - BSAD	4:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
04.02.23	Porto B - BSAD	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
11.09.22	BSAD - Feirense	1:1
Liga Portugal
03.03.19	BSAD - Feirense	4:0
05.10.18	Feirense - BSAD	0:0
24.02.18	BSAD - Feirense	1:0
24.09.17	Feirense - BSAD	1:4
02.04.17	BSAD - Feirense	1:2
Portuguese League Cup
03.01.17	BSAD - Feirense	2:2

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