Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 25

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Marcolino de Castro (Santa Maria da Feira)

Referee: Verissimo F. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Feirense		Trofense

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.6
	1.95	3	3.6
	1.96	3.3	3.5
	2.05	3.2	3.35
	2.01	3.49	4
	2	3	3.6
	2.02	3.34	3.56
	2.04	3.15	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.75)	3.2 ↓ (3.45)	3.58 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Feirense
45.7%

Draw
28.7%

Trofense
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

26%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

25.1%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Feirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Feirense's form might have worsened.

Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feirense than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Feirense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	30%	30%

Feirense - Trofense Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Feirense will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Trofense will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Feirense: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Feirense won 4.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Feirense will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Feirense won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Feirense won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Feirense
Portuguese Liga 2
11.03.23	Oliveirense - Feirense	0:1 ✺
05.03.23	Feirense - BSAD	0:1 ✺
26.02.23	Mafra - Feirense	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Feirense - Vilafranquense	1:2 ✺
11.02.23	Leixões - Feirense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLTLW
- CD Trofense
Portuguese Liga 2
11.03.23	Trofense - Nacional	2:2 ✺
04.03.23	Moreirense - Trofense	1:0 ✺
24.02.23	Trofense - Penafiel	1:2 ✺
18.02.23	Trofense - Oliveirense	2:1 ✺
11.02.23	Vilafranquense - Trofense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
10.10.22	Trofense - Feirense	0:3
01.05.22	Feirense - Trofense	1:2
20.12.21	Trofense - Feirense	0:1
07.03.15	Feirense - Trofense	2:0
12.10.14	Trofense - Feirense	0:3
Portuguese League Cup
03.08.14	Trofense - Feirense	1:0
Club Friendly
16.07.14	Feirense - Trofense	1:1

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