Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 23

Date: 4 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas (Moreira de Conegos)

Referee: Fellas K. (Cyp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Moreirense		Trofense

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.8	5
	1.52	3.75	5.5
	1.52	4	5.4
	1.54	3.9	5.4
	1.58	4.16	6.04
	1.52	3.6	5.8
	1.54	4.05	5.6
	1.54	3.85	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.34)	3.89 ↓ (4.33)	5.49 ↓ (7.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moreirense
59.7%

Draw
23.6%

Trofense
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

20.9%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

20.7%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moreirense's form might have worsened.

Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moreirense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Moreirense - Trofense Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Moreirense will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Trofense will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Moreirense is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Trofense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Trofense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Moreirense is certain favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Moreirense won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Moreirense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moreirense FC
Portuguese Liga 2
25.02.23	Oliveirense - Moreirense	2:2 ✺
19.02.23	Moreirense - BSAD	4:1 ✺
10.02.23	Torreense - Moreirense	1:0 ✺
04.02.23	Moreirense - Académico de Viseu	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	Vilafranquense - Moreirense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWLWW
- CD Trofense
Portuguese Liga 2
24.02.23	Trofense - Penafiel	1:2 ✺
18.02.23	Trofense - Oliveirense	2:1 ✺
11.02.23	Vilafranquense - Trofense	0:1 ✺
05.02.23	Trofense - Leixões	0:1 ✺
30.01.23	BSAD - Trofense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
11.09.22	Trofense - Moreirense	0:3
Portuguese League Cup
29.10.14	Moreirense - Trofense	2:2 penalties
24.09.14	Trofense - Moreirense	1:2
Portuguese Liga 2
16.03.14	Trofense - Moreirense	1:7
02.11.13	Moreirense - Trofense	4:0

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