Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 24 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Sukru Saracoglu Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Madley A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Fenerbahçe		Twente

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.6	4.2	Watch
	1.77	3.7	3.8
	1.81	3.65	4.2
	1.85	3.8	4
	1.83	3.74	4.29
	1.78	3.98	4.05	Watch
	1.8	4	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.63)	3.78 ↓ (3.78)	4.12 ↓ (5.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fenerbahçe
52.1%

Draw
25%

Twente
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

24.6%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

24.1%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fenerbahçe's form might have worsened.

Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fenerbahçe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Twente than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Twente, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.6%	5.3%	13.2%

Fenerbahçe - Twente Predictions

Users Predictions: Fenerbahçe will win (31 of 38 users predict this - 81.58%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.25% – 93.91%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
70. Egribayat I. (G) 16. Muldur M. 6. Djiku A. 24. Oosterwolde J. 7. Kadioglu F. 35. Fred 5. Yuksek I. 53. Szymanski S. 11. Kent R. 23. Batshuayi M. 10. Tadic D. (C)	1. Unnerstall L. (G) 12. Sampsted A. 2. Hilgers M. 3. Propper R. (C) 23. Sadilek M. 18. Vlap M. 4. Kjolo M. 11. Rots D. 8. Regeer Y. 14. Steijn S. 27. Ugalde M.
Substitutes
97. Akyuz F. O. (G) 1. Bayindir A. (G) 9. Dzeko E. 28. Elmaz B. 17. Kahveci I. C. 15. King J. 22. Nayir U. 21. Osayi-Samuel B. 50. Rodrigo Becao 20. Under C. 8. Yandas M. H.	41. Besselink G. 38. Bruns M. 16. El Maach I. (G) 24. Mesbahi J. 39. Rots M. 19. Taha Y. 22. Tyton P. (G) 10. Unuvar N. 17. Van Hoorenbeeck A. 9. van Wolfswinkel R.
Coaches
Kartal I.	Oosting J.

Preview

1st leg.

Both teams in the last matches got series of victories.

Fenerbahçe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fenerbahçe is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Fenerbahçe to win the game is with odds 1.57.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League
21.08.23	Samsunspor - Fenerbahçe	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.08.23	Maribor - Fenerbahçe	0:3 ✺
Turkish Super League
13.08.23	Fenerbahçe - Gaziantep	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Fenerbahçe - Maribor	3:1 ✺
01.08.23	Zimbru Chişinău - Fenerbahçe	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWW
- FC Twente
Dutch Eredivisie
20.08.23	Twente - Zwolle	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.08.23	Riga - Twente	0:3 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
13.08.23	Almere City - Twente	1:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Twente - Riga	2:0 ✺
03.08.23	Hammarby - Twente	1:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWW

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