Match Info

WORLD: Club Friendly

Date: 15 November 2024, Friday

Location: Ulker Stadium Şükrü Saracoğlu (Istanbul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Sportbox.ru
Turkey	TRT 1


	Fenerbahçe		Zenit

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.6	2.18
	2.69	3.72	2.23
	2.77	3.75	2.35	Watch
	2.75	3.6	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.65)	3.67 ↑ (3.6)	2.24 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fenerbahçe
33.6%

Draw
25.1%

Zenit
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

26.3%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

27.7%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Zenit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zenit than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zenit, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fenerbahçe - Zenit Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Egribayat I. (G) 22. Mercan L. 50. Rodrigo Becao 95. Akcicek Y. 18. Kostic F. 13. Fred 28. Elmaz B. 42. Dursun M. 10. Tadic D. 70. Aydin O. 23. Tosun C.	16. Adamov D. (G) 2. Chistyakov D. 27. Nino 55. Rodrigo 3. Santos D. 5. Barrios W. 67. Glushenkov M. 21. Erokhin A. 77. Akhmetov I. 24. Pedro Henrique 7. Sobolev A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Tosun C. ⚽, Tadic D. (A),
35', Glushenkov M. ↓, Gondou L. ↑,
35', 1 - 1, Erokhin A. ⚽, Akhmetov I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Egribayat I. ↓, Cetin E. ↑,
60', Dursun M. ↓, Tograk S. ↑,
63', 2 - 1, Mercan L. ⚽, Tadic D. (A),
68', Nino ↓, Kasheev G. ↑,
68', Barrios W. ↓, Mushkarin D. ↑,
68', Santos D. ↓, Chernov S. ↑,
77', Erokhin A. ↓, Tarasov A. ↑,
77', Sobolev A. ↓, Voinkov K. ↑,
83', Akhmetov I. ↓, Vershinin N. ↑,
85', Aydin O. ↓, Ekiz Y. E. ↑,
88', Akcicek Y. ↓, Cizgili M. ↑,
89', Tosun C. ↓, Akyazi K. ↑,
89', Pedro Henrique ↓, Frantsuzov V. ↑,
90+5', Fred ↓, Kayaarasi K. ↑,

Preview

Fenerbahçe is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Zenit is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Fenerbahçe won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Fenerbahçe won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League
10.11.24	Fenerbahçe - Sivasspor	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.11.24	AZ Alkmaar - Fenerbahçe	3:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
03.11.24	Trabzonspor - Fenerbahçe	2:3 ✺
27.10.24	Fenerbahçe - Bodrumspor	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.10.24	Fenerbahçe - Manchester United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWWT
- Zenit St Petersburg
Russian Premier League
10.11.24	Akhmat Grozny - Zenit	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
06.11.24	Zenit - Akhmat Grozny	3:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
02.11.24	Zenit - Dynamo Makhachkala	2:1 ✺
27.10.24	Zenit - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
22.10.24	Fakel - Zenit	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
09.07.23	Zenit - Fenerbahçe	0:0
23.03.23	Fenerbahçe - Zenit	2:2
UEFA Europa League
21.02.19	Zenit - Fenerbahçe	3:1
12.02.19	Fenerbahçe - Zenit	1:0

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