Match Info

LaLiga - Round 31

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio San Mamés (Bilbao) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Guzman J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 2
Andorra	21:00	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	16:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	05:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	21:00	DAZN
Azerbaijan	23:00	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	01:00	Begin
Belarus	22:00	Belarus 5
Bolivia	15:00	Tigo Sports 1
Brazil	16:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	15:00	TSN+
Chile	15:00	DirecTV Sports
China	03:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	TV2 Play
Ecuador	14:00	DirecTV Sports
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Georgia	23:00	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1, Silk Universal
Germany	21:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports 1
Hong Kong	03:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	21:00	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	00:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	22:00	ONE Sport
Italy	21:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	04:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	01:00	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 3
Kyrgyzstan	01:00	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Macao	03:00	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Maldives	00:00	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	13:00	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Moldova	22:00	Setanta Sports 2
Mozambique	21:00	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	07:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	20:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	14:00	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Poland	21:00	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	22:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	03:00	beIN Sports 2
Slovakia	21:00	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 2
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Spain	21:00	DAZN Espana, LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga, RTVE Play, Teledeporte
Sweden	21:00	Discovery+, TV12, TV4 Play
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	02:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	22:00	S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	16:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	15:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	15:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	02:00	SCTV 15, SCTV Online


	Athletic Bilbao		Villarreal

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3.75	Watch
	2.02	3.55	3.55	Watch
	2.1	3.51	3.83
	2.08	3.5	3.55	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.5
	2.09	3.47	3.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.34)	3.46 ↓ (3.53)	3.66 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Athletic Bilbao
46.4%

Draw
27.5%

Villarreal
26.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.4%

26.7%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

28%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletic Bilbao's performance.

Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villarreal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villarreal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.1%	27.8%	11.1%

Athletic Bilbao - Villarreal Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 22 - 61.1%). Villarreal will win (votes: 4 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 45.2% – 77%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Athletic (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Villarreal (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Athletic (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Athletic (votes: 2 - 50%). Villarreal (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Simon U. (G) 15. Lekue I. 3. Vivian D. 14. Laporte A. 17. Berchiche Y. 18. Jauregizar M. 16. Ruiz de Galarreta I. 9. Williams I. (C) 8. Sancet O. 10. Williams N. 11. Guruzeta G.	1. Luiz Junior (G) 15. Mourino S. 6. Navarro P. 12. Veiga R. 23. Cardona S. 17. Buchanan T. 14. Comesana S. 18. Gueye P. 11. Gonzalez A. 7. Moreno G. (C) 21. Oluwaseyi T.
Substitutes
5. Alvarez Y. 7. Berenguer A. 19. Boiro A. 20. Gomez U. 2. Gorosabel A. 25. Izeta 23. Navarro R. 27. Padilla A. (G) 4. Paredes A. 30. Rego A. 22. Serrano N. 6. Vesga M.	38. Diatta A. 3. Freeman A. 5. Kambwala W. 4. Marin R. 9. Mikautadze G. 20. Moleiro A. 10. Parejo D. 24. Pedraza A. 19. Pepe N. 22. Perez A. 25. Tenas A. (G)
Coaches
Valverde E.	Marcelino G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
19', Navarro P. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Cardona S. ⚽, Oluwaseyi T. (A),
45+5', 0 - 2, Gonzalez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lekue I. ↓, Gorosabel A. ↑,
46', Navarro P. ↓, Marin R. ↑,
66', Ruiz de Galarreta I. ↓, Rego A. ↑,
66', Sancet O. ↓, Berenguer A. ↑,
66', Williams N. ↓, Navarro R. ↑,
68', Gonzalez A. ↓, Pepe N. ↑,
69', Oluwaseyi T. ↓, Mikautadze G. ↑,
75', Comesana S. 🟨,
78', Buchanan T. 🟨,
78', Buchanan T. ↓, Moleiro A. ↑,
82', Williams I. ↓, Serrano N. ↑,
82', Gueye P. ↓, Parejo D. ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Guruzeta G. ⚽, Berchiche Y. (A),
90+1', Gorosabel A. 🟨,
90+1', Guruzeta G. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 2.

Recent form of Athletic has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Villarreal's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Athletic might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Athletic: Areso J. (Inactive) Egiluz U. (Inactive) Prados Diaz B. (Knee Injury) Sannadi M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Villarreal: Cabanes P. (Knee Injury) Costa L. (Knee Injury) Foyth J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Partey T. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Ath Bilbao	9	3	3	3	12:9	3	12
10	Villarreal	10	3	3	4	15:14	1	12

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Ath Bilbao: 0.45% Villarreal: 0.41%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Bilbao
Spanish LaLiga
05.04.26	Getafe - Athletic Bilbao	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Athletic Bilbao - Betis	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Girona - Athletic Bilbao	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Athletic Bilbao - Barcelona	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.03.26	Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL
- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
06.04.26	Girona - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
20.03.26	Villarreal - Real Sociedad	3:1 ✺
13.03.26	Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Villarreal - Elche	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Barcelona - Villarreal	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
27.09.25	Villarreal - Athletic Bilbao	1:0
06.04.25	Villarreal - Athletic Bilbao	0:0
08.12.24	Athletic Bilbao - Villarreal	2:0
14.04.24	Athletic Bilbao - Villarreal	1:1
05.11.23	Villarreal - Athletic Bilbao	2:3
13.05.23	Villarreal - Athletic Bilbao	5:1
30.10.22	Athletic Bilbao - Villarreal	1:0

Upcoming Matches