Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 15

Date: 2 December 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	FeralpiSalò		Cittadella

	1	X	2
	3.3	3	2.38	Watch
	3.2	2.95	2.35
	3.3	2.95	2.35	Watch
	3.64	2.96	2.4
	3.68	2.97	2.39
	3.1	3	2.3
	3.35	3.02	2.31	Watch
	3.3	3.05	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (3.07)	2.99 ↓ (3.1)	2.35 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FeralpiSalò
28.1%

Draw
31.6%

Cittadella
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

30.5%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

31%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FeralpiSalò has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Cittadella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FeralpiSalò than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

FeralpiSalò - Cittadella Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. FeralpiSalò will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Cittadella will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cittadella: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pizzignacco S. (G) 66. Bergonzi F. 23. Ceppitelli L. 31. Camporese M. 70. Parigini V. 20. Zennaro M. 16. Fiordilino L. 10. Di Molfetta D. 87. Martella B. 14. Compagnon M. 9. Butic K.	36. Kastrati E. (G) 2. Salvi A. 26. Pavan N. 30. Negro S. 98. Giraudo F. 16. Vita A. 23. Branca S. 8. Amatucci F. 10. Cassano C. 7. Pandolfi L. 11. Pittarello F.
Substitutes
8. Balestrero D. 11. Da Cruz A. 97. Felici M. 27. Hergheligiu D. 39. Kourfalidis C. 91. La Mantia A. 34. Minelli S. (G) 99. Pietrelli A. 25. Sau M. 3. Tonetto M. 29. Verzeletti M. 61. Volpe G. (G)	92. Baldini E. 20. Carriero G. 64. Cecchetto A. 27. Danzi A. 15. Frare D. 17. Kornvig E. 9. Magrassi A. 32. Maistrello T. 77. Maniero L. (G) 5. Mastrantonio V. 28. Rizza A. 18. Tessiore A.
Coaches
Zaffaroni M.	Gorini E.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

FeralpiSalò is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Cittadella is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cittadella will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches FeralpiSalò won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams FeralpiSalò won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FeralpiSalò
Italian Serie B
25.11.23	Como - FeralpiSalò	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	FeralpiSalò - Bari	3:3 ✺
04.11.23	Nuova Cosenza - FeralpiSalò	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	FeralpiSalò - Reggiana	0:3 ✺
21.10.23	Catanzaro - FeralpiSalò	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTTLL
- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie B
25.11.23	Cittadella - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:1 ✺
12.11.23	Palermo - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
04.11.23	Cittadella - Brescia	3:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
31.10.23	Cremonese - Cittadella	2:1 ET ✺
Italian Serie B
27.10.23	Cittadella - Cremonese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
24.04.16	FeralpiSalò - Cittadella	1:2
13.12.15	Cittadella - FeralpiSalò	0:2

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