Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 16

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Nicola Ceravolo (Catanzaro)

Referee: Perri M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia
Russia	Telekanal Futbol


	Catanzaro		Brescia

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.3	3	Watch
	2.37	3	3.1
	2.4	3.1	3	Watch
	2.46	3.1	3.33
	2.41	3.06	3.24	Watch
	2.15	3.25	3.25
	2.36	3.31	3.01	Watch
	2.4	3.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.14)	3.15 ↓ (3.28)	3.12 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Catanzaro
39.9%

Draw
29.9%

Brescia
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

28.6%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

28.3%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Brescia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	53.8%	7.7%

Catanzaro - Brescia Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Catanzaro will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Brescia will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pigliacelli M. (G) 23. Brighenti N. 14. Scognamillo S. 6. Bonini F. 70. D'Alessandro M. 8. Koutsoupias I. 10. Petriccione J. 20. Pontisso S. 7. Compagnon M. 9. Iemmello P. (C) 28. Biasci T.	1. Lezzerini L. (G) 24. Dickmann L. 15. Cistana A. 28. Adorni D. 19. Corrado N. 23. Galazzi N. 6. Verreth M. 25. Bisoli D. 39. Besaggio M. 8. Bjarnason B. 29. Borrelli G.
Substitutes
99. Borrelli E. (G) 45. Buso N. 84. Cassandro T. 27. Ceresoli A. 80. Coulibaly M. 1. Dini A. (G) 24. Pagano R. 2. Piras M. 90. Pittarello F. 29. Seck D. 3. Turicchia R.	22. Andrenacci L. (G) 26. Bertagnoli M. 9. Bianchi F. 5. Calvani G. 18. Jallow A. 7. Juric A. 11. Moncini G. 33. Muca Z. 20. Nuamah P. 27. Olzer G. 4. Paghera F. 32. Papetti A.
Coaches
Caserta F.	Maran R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Bjarnason B. ⚽, Galazzi N. (A),
30', Verreth M. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Biasci T. ⚽, D'Alessandro M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Bjarnason B. 🟨,
56', Dickmann L. 🟨,
59', Koutsoupias I. ↓, Cassandro T. ↑,
64', D'Alessandro M. ↓, Seck D. ↑,
66', Bisoli D. ↓, Bertagnoli M. ↑,
67', Bjarnason B. ↓, Juric A. ↑,
67', Dickmann L. ↓, Jallow A. ↑,
71', Borrelli G. ↓, Moncini G. ↑,
80', Brighenti N. 🟨,
81', Pontisso S. ↓, Coulibaly M. ↑,
81', Biasci T. ↓, Pittarello F. ↑,
88', Compagnon M. 🟨,
90+7', Lezzerini L. 🟨,
90+8', 2 - 1, Bonini F. ⚽, Scognamillo S. (A),

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 9).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Catanzaro will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Catanzaro: Pompetti M. (Red Card)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Catanzaro won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:6 (average 2.3:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Catanzaro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 3:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie B
30.11.24	Sampdoria - Catanzaro	3:3 ✺
23.11.24	Catanzaro - Mantova	2:2 ✺
10.11.24	Reggiana - Catanzaro	2:2 ✺
03.11.24	Catanzaro - Frosinone	0:0 ✺
30.10.24	Pisa - Catanzaro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TTTTT
- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
30.11.24	Brescia - Bari	1:1 ✺
23.11.24	Juve Stabia - Brescia	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	Brescia - Nuova Cosenza	2:3 ✺
03.11.24	Sampdoria - Brescia	0:1 ✺
29.10.24	Brescia - Spezia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
18.05.24	Catanzaro - Brescia	4:2 ET
16.03.24	Brescia - Catanzaro	1:1
23.12.23	Catanzaro - Brescia	2:3

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