Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 30 January 2025, Thursday

Location: Groupama Arena (Budapest)

Referee: Minakovic N. (Srb)

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	Ferencvárosi		AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.25	3.25
	2.3	3.2	3.1
	2.32	3.3	3.25
	2.35	3.23	3.35
	2.31	3.28	3.2	Watch
	2.4	3.1	3.1
	2.41	3.31	3.18
	2.35	3.3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.35)	3.25 ↓ (3.35)	3.21 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferencvárosi
40.8%

Draw
29.4%

AZ Alkmaar
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

28.3%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

30%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferencvárosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.8%	27.1%	27.1%

Ferencvárosi - AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 21 - 46.7%). AZ will win (votes: 11 - 24.4%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 28.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ferencvárosi: 32.1% – 61.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Varga A. (G) 25. Makreckis C. 3. Gartenmann S. 27. Cisse I. 17. Civic E. 20. Traore A. 15. Abu Fani M. 80. Maiga H. 64. Toth A. 19. Varga B. (C) 7. Ben Romdhane M. A.	1. Owusu-Oduro R. (G) 30. Kasius D. 3. Goes W. 22. Dekker M. 34. de Wit M. 6. Koopmeiners P. (C) 26. Smit K. 14. Belic K. 17. Addai J. 21. Poku E. 23. Lahdo M.
Substitutes
30. Gruber Z. 10. Kady Borges 54. Kajan N. 71. Lakatos C. 65. Ori L. (G) 8. Pesic A. 99. Ramirez C. 34. Raul Gustavo 88. Rommens P. 11. Saldanha 22. Szalai G. 16. Zachariassen K.	28. Buurmeester Z. 8. Clasie J. 16. Maikuma S. 4. Martins Indi B. 35. Meerdink M. 10. Mijnans S. 9. Parrott T. 5. Penetra 24. Schouten L. 12. Verhulst H. (G) 18. Wolfe D. M. 41. Zoet J. (G)
Coaches
Keane R.	Martens M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
7', Belic K. 🟨,
9', 1 - 0, Ben Romdhane M. A. ⚽, Traore A. (A),
12', Varga B. 🟨,
30', Maiga H. ↓, Rommens P. ↑,
34', 2 - 0, Traore A. ⚽, Toth A. (A),
45', 3 - 0, Ben Romdhane M. A. ⚽, Abu Fani M. (A),
45+3', Kasius D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Belic K. ↓, Clasie J. ↑,
46', Kasius D. ↓, Maikuma S. ↑,
63', Poku E. ↓, Mijnans S. ↑,
63', Lahdo M. ↓, Parrott T. ↑,
66', Makreckis C. 🟨,
73', Abu Fani M. ↓, Kady Borges ↑,
73', Traore A. ↓, Zachariassen K. ↑,
76', 3 - 1, Mijnans S. ⚽, Smit K. (A),
80', Koopmeiners P. ↓, Buurmeester Z. ↑,
82', 4 - 1, Varga B. (Pen),
83', Varga B. ↓, Saldanha ↑,
83', Ben Romdhane M. A. ↓, Raul Gustavo ↑,
90', 4 - 2, Parrott T. ⚽, Maikuma S. (A),
90+5', 4 - 3, Mijnans S. ⚽, Clasie J. (A),

Preview

Ferencvárosi is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches AZ is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ferencvárosi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ferencvárosi have a series of guest games.

Ferencvárosi will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in AZ: Westerveld S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in AZ: Belic K. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferencvárosi TC
UEFA Europa League
23.01.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Ferencvárosi	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.01.25	Piast Gliwice - Ferencvárosi	1:0 ✺
10.01.25	Preußen Münster - Ferencvárosi	0:0 ✺
Hungarian NB I
15.12.24	Nyíregyháza Spartacus - Ferencvárosi	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.12.24	PAOK - Ferencvárosi	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTWL
- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie
26.01.25	AZ Alkmaar - Sparta Rotterdam	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.01.25	AZ Alkmaar - Roma	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
18.01.25	Utrecht - AZ Alkmaar	0:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
14.01.25	AZ Alkmaar - Ajax	2:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
11.01.25	PSV Eindhoven - AZ Alkmaar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LWTWT

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