Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 24 October 2024, Thursday

Location: Groupama Arena (Budapest)

Referee: Sidiropoulos A. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 5, New World Sport App, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN 3
China	QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Sport 3
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 1
Hungary	M4 Sport
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Montenegro	Arena Sport 3
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 6
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Philippines	beIN Connect
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 6, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 11, Blue Sport 11, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 9
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 8
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, Fox Sports app


	Ferencvárosi		Nice

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.2	2.5
	2.8	3.25	2.5
	2.95	3.3	2.5
	3	3.3	2.58
	2.92	3.22	2.52	Watch
	2.88	3.3	2.5
	3.01	3.46	2.54
	2.98	3.3	2.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↓ (3.8)	3.29 ↓ (3.6)	2.52 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferencvárosi
32.8%

Draw
29.2%

Nice
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

26%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

25.3%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferencvárosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferencvárosi's performance.

Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferencvárosi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	33.3%	56.7%

Ferencvárosi - Nice Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 3 - 10.3%). Nice will win (votes: 17 - 58.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 31%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 40.7% – 76.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Dibusz D. (C) 25. Makreckis C. 3. Gartenmann S. 27. Cisse I. 17. Civic E. 15. Abu Fani M. 88. Rommens P. 20. Traore A. 10. Kady Borges 16. Zachariassen K. 19. Varga B.	1. Bulka M. (G) 33. Mendy A. 64. Bombito M. 5. Abdelmonem M. 92. Clauss J. 6. Boudaoui H. 8. Rosario P. (C) 20. Louchet T. 10. Diop S. 24. Laborde G. 29. Guessand E.
Substitutes
7. Ben Romdhane M. A. 21. Botka E. 30. Gruber Z. 54. Kajan N. 80. Maiga H. 93. Misidjan V. 8. Pesic A. 99. Ramirez C. 11. Saldanha 22. Szalai G. 64. Toth A. 1. Varga A. (G)	2. Abdi A. 26. Bard M. 7. Boga J. 19. Bouanani B. 77. Boulhendi T. (G) 36. Camara I. 25. Cho M. 31. Dupe M. (G) 15. Moukoko Y.
Coaches
Jansen P.	Haise F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Bombito M. (Own goal), Cisse I. (A),
19', Varga B. 🟨,
39', Bombito M. 🟨,
45+1', Abdelmonem M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Diop S. ↓, Boga J. ↑,
64', Guessand E. ↓, Cho M. ↑,
64', Laborde G. ↓, Moukoko Y. ↑,
65', Louchet T. ↓, Abdi A. ↑,
73', Kady Borges ↓, Maiga H. ↑,
74', Civic E. ↓, Ben Romdhane M. A. ↑,
74', Zachariassen K. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
74', Mendy A. ↓, Bouanani B. ↑,
80', Varga B. ↓, Saldanha ↑,
84', Traore A. 🟨,
84', Rosario P. 🟥,
90+4', Jansen P. 🟨,
90+6', Abu Fani M. ↓, Botka E. ↑,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Ferencvárosi: Raul Gustavo (Broken collarbone)

There will not play in Nice: Bard M. (Ankle Injury) Moffi T. (Knee Injury) Ndombele T. (Hip Injury) Sanson M. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Nice: Cho M. (Thigh Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Muscle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferencvárosi TC
Hungarian NB I
20.10.24	Ferencvárosi - Videoton	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Paksi SE - Ferencvárosi	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.10.24	Ferencvárosi - Tottenham Hotspur	1:2 ✺
Hungarian NB I
29.09.24	Ferencvárosi - Puskás Academy	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.09.24	Anderlecht - Ferencvárosi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLWL
- OGC Nice
French Ligue 1
20.10.24	Nantes - Nice	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Nice - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.10.24	Lazio - Nice	4:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
28.09.24	Lens - Nice	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.09.24	Nice - Real Sociedad	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TTLTT

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