Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 25 September 2024, Wednesday

Location: Allianz Riviera (Nice)

Referee: Krogh M. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Variety 1, SuperSport Variety 2
Argentina	ESPN 2, ESPN
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 5
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4, Moja TV
Bulgaria	Voyo
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN 2, ESPN
China	QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN 2, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
Germany	RTL+
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 5
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 3
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Japan	Wowow Prime
Laos	beIN Connect
Malta	TSN Malta 8
Mexico	ESPN 4
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 4
Portugal	DAZN 5
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar 3, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, Premier Sports 2 ROI, TNT Sports 3
Usa	CBS, FuboTV, Paramount+
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+, JioTV app


	Nice		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	3.4
	2.35	3.1	3.25
	2.35	3.1	3.4
	2.36	3.12	3.45
	2.36	3.08	3.32	Watch
	2.45	3.1	3.1
	2.48	3.21	3.34
	2.42	3.1	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.52)	3.1 ↓ (3.16)	3.32 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Network on TV: CBSSN

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Current Win Probability

Nice
40.2%

Draw
30.9%

Real Sociedad
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

30.3%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

31.7%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.3%	26.7%	10%

Nice - Real Sociedad Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 19 - 65.5%). Real Sociedad will win (votes: 3 - 10.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 24.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 48.2% – 82.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bulka M. (G) 55. Ndayishimiye Y. 64. Bombito M. 4. Dante (C) 92. Clauss J. 8. Rosario P. 20. Louchet T. 26. Bard M. 19. Bouanani B. 15. Moukoko Y. 29. Guessand E.	1. Remiro A. (G) 2. Odriozola A. 31. Martin J. 5. Zubeldia I. 20. Pacheco J. 3. Munoz A. 23. Mendez B. 4. Zubimendi M. 28. Marin P. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C) 7. Barrenetxea A.
Substitutes
5. Abdelmonem M. 2. Abdi A. 6. Boudaoui H. 77. Boulhendi T. (G) 36. Camara I. 10. Diop S. 31. Dupe M. (G) 33. Mendy A. 22. Ndombele T. 45. Orakpo V.	21. Aguerd N. 27. Aramburu J. 11. Becker S. 6. Elustondo A. 17. Gomez S. 14. Kubo T. 12. Lopez J. 25. Magunazelaia Argoitia J. 13. Marrero U. (G) 9. Oskarsson O. 24. Sucic L. 22. Turrientes B.
Coaches
Haise F.	Alguacil I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Barrenetxea A. ⚽, Mendez B. (A),
20', Zubimendi M. 🟨,
26', Rosario P. 🟨,
26', Guessand E. 🟨,
43', Odriozola A. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Rosario P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Pacheco J. 🟨,
55', Guessand E. (Pen),
60', Barrenetxea A. ↓, Becker S. ↑,
60', Odriozola A. ↓, Aramburu J. ↑,
60', Munoz A. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
68', Louchet T. ↓, Ndombele T. ↑,
68', Bouanani B. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
69', Mendez B. ↓, Sucic L. ↑,
74', Moukoko Y. ↓, Orakpo V. ↑,
79', Oyarzabal M. ↓, Oskarsson O. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Nice is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real Sociedad is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nice could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Nice: Laborde G. (Foot Injury) Moffi T. (Knee Injury) Sanson M. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Traore H. (Knee Injury) Zakharyan A. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Nice: Boga J. (Leg Injury) Boudaoui H. (Knee Injury) Cho M. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Real Sociedad: Odriozola A. (Injury) Sadiq U. (Hamstring Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OGC Nice
French Ligue 1
20.09.24	Nice - Saint-Étienne	8:0 ✺
14.09.24	Olympique Marseille - Nice	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Angers - Nice	1:4 ✺
25.08.24	Nice - Toulouse	1:1 ✺
18.08.24	Auxerre - Nice	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWTL
- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
21.09.24	Valladolid - Real Sociedad	0:0 ✺
17.09.24	Mallorca - Real Sociedad	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Real Sociedad - Real Madrid	0:2 ✺
01.09.24	Getafe - Real Sociedad	0:0 ✺
28.08.24	Real Sociedad - Deportivo Alavés	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLLTL

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