Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 25 September 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Allianz Riviera (Nice) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Krogh M. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Variety 1, SuperSport Variety 2
Argentina	16:00	ESPN 2, ESPN
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	05:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 5
Belgium	21:00	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 4, Moja TV
Bulgaria	22:00	Voyo
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	16:00	ESPN 2, ESPN
China	03:00	QQ Sports
Colombia	14:00	ESPN 2, ESPN
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	21:00	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
Germany	21:00	RTL+
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 5
Hong Kong	03:00	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	19:00	Viaplay
India	00:30	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 3
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Japan	04:00	Wowow Prime
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Malta	21:00	TSN Malta 8
Mexico	13:00	ESPN 4
Myanmar	01:30	Canal+ Myanmar
New Zealand	07:00	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport Premium 4
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 5
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	LaLiga TV Bar 3, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	02:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 5
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK, Premier Sports 2 ROI, TNT Sports 3
Usa	15:00	CBS, FuboTV, Paramount+
Venezuela	15:00	Inter
International	19:00	Disney+, JioTV app


	Nice		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	3.4
	2.35	3.1	3.25
	2.35	3.1	3.4
	2.36	3.12	3.45
	2.36	3.08	3.32	Watch
	2.45	3.1	3.1
	2.48	3.21	3.34
	2.42	3.1	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.52)	3.1 ↓ (3.16)	3.32 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Europa League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: CBSSN

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Current Win Probability

Nice
40.2%

Draw
30.9%

Real Sociedad
28.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38%

30.3%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

31.7%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.3%	26.7%	10%

Nice - Real Sociedad Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 19 - 65.5%). Real Sociedad will win (votes: 3 - 10.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 24.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 48.2% – 82.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bulka M. (G) 55. Ndayishimiye Y. 64. Bombito M. 4. Dante (C) 92. Clauss J. 8. Rosario P. 20. Louchet T. 26. Bard M. 19. Bouanani B. 15. Moukoko Y. 29. Guessand E.	1. Remiro A. (G) 2. Odriozola A. 31. Martin J. 5. Zubeldia I. 20. Pacheco J. 3. Munoz A. 23. Mendez B. 4. Zubimendi M. 28. Marin P. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C) 7. Barrenetxea A.
Substitutes
5. Abdelmonem M. 2. Abdi A. 6. Boudaoui H. 77. Boulhendi T. (G) 36. Camara I. 10. Diop S. 31. Dupe M. (G) 33. Mendy A. 22. Ndombele T. 45. Orakpo V.	21. Aguerd N. 27. Aramburu J. 11. Becker S. 6. Elustondo A. 17. Gomez S. 14. Kubo T. 12. Lopez J. 25. Magunazelaia Argoitia J. 13. Marrero U. (G) 9. Oskarsson O. 24. Sucic L. 22. Turrientes B.
Coaches
Haise F.	Alguacil I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Barrenetxea A. ⚽, Mendez B. (A),
20', Zubimendi M. 🟨,
26', Rosario P. 🟨,
26', Guessand E. 🟨,
43', Odriozola A. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Rosario P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Pacheco J. 🟨,
55', Guessand E. (Pen),
60', Barrenetxea A. ↓, Becker S. ↑,
60', Odriozola A. ↓, Aramburu J. ↑,
60', Munoz A. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
68', Louchet T. ↓, Ndombele T. ↑,
68', Bouanani B. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
69', Mendez B. ↓, Sucic L. ↑,
74', Moukoko Y. ↓, Orakpo V. ↑,
79', Oyarzabal M. ↓, Oskarsson O. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Nice is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real Sociedad is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nice could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Nice: Laborde G. (Foot Injury) Moffi T. (Knee Injury) Sanson M. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Traore H. (Knee Injury) Zakharyan A. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Nice: Boga J. (Leg Injury) Boudaoui H. (Knee Injury) Cho M. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Real Sociedad: Odriozola A. (Injury) Sadiq U. (Hamstring Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OGC Nice
French Ligue 1
20.09.24	Nice - Saint-Étienne	8:0 ✺
14.09.24	Olympique Marseille - Nice	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Angers - Nice	1:4 ✺
25.08.24	Nice - Toulouse	1:1 ✺
18.08.24	Auxerre - Nice	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWTL
- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
21.09.24	Valladolid - Real Sociedad	0:0 ✺
17.09.24	Mallorca - Real Sociedad	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Real Sociedad - Real Madrid	0:2 ✺
01.09.24	Getafe - Real Sociedad	0:0 ✺
28.08.24	Real Sociedad - Deportivo Alavés	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLLTL

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