Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 27

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Allianz Riviera (Nice)

Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Onefootball


	Nice		Paris Saint-Germain

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.75	1.44	Watch
	5.5	5	1.47
	6.8	4.65	1.45	Watch
	7.16	4.9	1.46
	6.79	5.19	1.45	Watch
	6	4.5	1.4
	7.09	4.87	1.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.55 ↓ (6.62)	4.84 ↓ (5.31)	1.45 ↑ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nice
14.5%

Draw
19.7%

Paris Saint-Germain
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.3%

17.8%

67.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.9%

17.3%

69.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6%	10%	84%

Nice - Paris Saint Germain Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Nice (5.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Paris Saint-Germain will win (42 of 49 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.91% – 95.51%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paris Saint-Germain will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Nice (votes: 1 - 20%). PSG (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
80. Diouf Y. (G) 33. Mendy A. 4. Dante (C) 28. Bah J. 92. Clauss J. 8. Sanson M. 6. Boudaoui H. 55. Ndayishimiye Y. 26. Bard M. 11. Wahi E. 10. Diop S.	39. Safonov M. (G) 33. Zaire-Emery W. 6. Zabarnyi I. 51. Pacho W. 21. Hernandez L. 19. Lee Kang-In 17. Vitinha (C) 24. Mayulu S. 14. Doue D. 7. Kvaratskhelia K. 25. Mendes N.
Substitutes
2. Abdi A. 32. Boudache K. 39. Coulibaly D. 31. Dupe M. (G) 47. Gouveia T. 90. Kevin 20. Louchet T. 37. Peprah K. 24. Vanhoutte C.	4. Beraldo L. 30. Chevalier L. (G) 10. Dembele O. 27. Fernandez D. 89. Marin R. (G) 5. Marquinhos 49. Mbaye I. 9. Ramos G.
Coaches
Puel C.	Luis Enrique

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Mayulu S. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Mendes N. (Penalty Awarded),
43', Mayulu S. ↓, Beraldo L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
49', 0 - 2, Doue D. ⚽, Mendes N. (A),
61', Ndayishimiye Y. 🟥,
64', Lee Kang-In ↓, Dembele O. ↑,
65', Diop S. ↓, Boudache K. ↑,
71', Dante ↓, Abdi A. ↑,
72', Wahi E. ↓, Kevin ↑,
76', Kvaratskhelia K. ↓, Mbaye I. ↑,
76', Doue D. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
76', Mendes N. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
81', 0 - 3, Fernandez D. ⚽, Dembele O. (A),
85', 0 - 4, Zaire-Emery W. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nice won 1.

In recent matches, Nice has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

PSG is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, PSG is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Abdi A. (Injury) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Cho M. (Foot Injury) Jansson I. (Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Injury) Ndombele T. (Injury) Peprah K. (Injury) Pereira E. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in PSG: Barcola B. (Ankle Injury) Hakimi A. (Yellow Cards) Ndjantou Q. (Muscle Injury) Neves J. (Injury) Ruiz F. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nice won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:33. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Nice won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:18. (average 0.9:2).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

PSG: 70.91% Nice: 0.58%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	PSG	5	2	2	1	8:7	1	8
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3:6	-3	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OGC Nice
French Ligue 1
14.03.26	Angers - Nice	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Nice - Rennes	0:4 ✺
Coupe De France
04.03.26	Lorient - Nice	0:1 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
01.03.26	Paris FC - Nice	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Nice - Lorient	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWLT
- Paris Saint-Germain
UEFA Champions League
17.03.26	Chelsea - Paris Saint-Germain	0:3 ✺
11.03.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Chelsea	5:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
06.03.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Monaco	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Le Havre - Paris Saint-Germain	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.02.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Monaco	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
01.11.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Nice	1:0
25.04.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Nice	1:3
06.10.24	Nice - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1
15.05.24	Nice - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2
Coupe De France
13.03.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Nice	3:1
French Ligue 1
15.09.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Nice	2:3
08.04.23	Nice - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2

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