Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 25

Date: 9 February 2024, Friday

Location: Stadio Paolo Mazza (Ferrara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	SPAL		Recanatese

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.4	4.1
	1.75	3.5	4.5	Watch
	1.78	3.4	3.99
	1.68	3.65	5.14
	1.7	3.5	4.33
	1.65	3.62	4.66
	1.71	3.5	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.85)	3.51 ↑ (3.5)	4.43 ↑ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

SPAL
53.3%

Draw
26%

Recanatese
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

26%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

22.6%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Recanatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SPAL that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Recanatese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

SPAL - Recanatese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Galeotti C. (G) 3. Bruscagin M. . Valentini N. 27. Peda P. 24. Ghiringhelli L. 25. Carraro M. 77. Buchel M. 71. Edera S. 19. Dalmonte N. 21. Zilli M. 10. Petrovic T.	1. Meli G. (G) 3. Allievi N. 54. Peretti M. 33. Rizzo F. 19. Raimo A. 8. Carpani G. 16. Morrone B. 31. Fiorini M. 25. Longobardi G. 11. Lipari M. 10. Sbaffo A.
Substitutes
1. Alfonso E. (G) 7. Antenucci M. 34. Breit P. 8. Collodel R. . Contiliano N. 17. Iglio G. 37. Maistro F. 22. Meneghetti M. (G) 29. Nador S. 9. Orfei A. 11. Rabbi S. 75. Rao E.	74. Ahmetaj M. 21. Guidobaldi F. 22. Mascolo N. (G) 30. Mazia A. 99. Osama 7. Pelamatti A. 4. Prisco A. 24. Raparo M. 5. Shiba C. 2. Veltri A.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).

SPAL is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recanatese has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match SPAL is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches SPAL won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SPAL 2013
Italian Serie C Group B
04.02.24	Lucchese - SPAL	2:1 ✺
28.01.24	SPAL - Juventus U23	1:3 ✺
21.01.24	Perugia - SPAL	3:1 ✺
14.01.24	SPAL - Cesena	0:0 ✺
06.01.24	Vis Pesaro - SPAL	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLTT
- USD Recanatese 1923
Italian Serie C Group B
04.02.24	Recanatese - Pontedera	4:5 ✺
26.01.24	Recanatese - Fermana	1:3 ✺
20.01.24	Lucchese - Recanatese	3:1 ✺
14.01.24	Recanatese - Juventus U23	1:1 ✺
10.01.24	Gubbio - Recanatese	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
01.10.23	Recanatese - SPAL	1:0

SPAL - Recanatese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide