The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ferro Carril Oeste 47.7%
Draw 30.8%
Club Almagro 21.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.3%
26.3%
17.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.9%
24.7%
18.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferro Carril Oeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferro Carril Oeste's form might have worsened.
Club Almagro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferro Carril Oeste, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Ferro Carril Oeste - Club Almagro Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Almagro (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Almagro (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Monetti F. (G) 4. Nazareno K. 2. Rivero F. 6. Lorenzo A. 3. Ayala R. 8. Cosi J. 5. Ramirez G. 10. Campos M. 7. Garcia F. 9. Romero L. 11. Palacio P.
1. Gonzalez E. (G) 4. Garcia M. 2. Vitale J. 6. Yegros U. 3. Gancedo M. 8. Luayza M. 5. Jerez Silva L. 10. Lattanzio C. 7. Dornell T. 9. Cucchi P. 11. Gonzalez A.
Substitutes
18. Ayala G. 19. Benegas M. 13. Boolsen P. 16. Fernandez Pinto J. 17. Flores S. 14. Meritello F. 15. Monserrat M. 12. Ruiz L. (G) 20. Tomasetti G.
16. Baldunciel L. 15. Castro T. 17. Diosquez N. 14. Gamba L. 12. Limousin C. (G) 19. Orlando J. 18. Quiroga F. 13. Rios R. 20. Rodriguez A.
Coaches
Grelak A.
Cordon J. L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Cucchi P. ⚽,
7', Cucchi P. 🟨,
9', Campos M. 🟨,
19', Lattanzio C. ↓, Castro T. ↑,
26', Ramirez G. 🟨,
29', Nazareno K. 🟨,
32', Gonzalez E. 🟨,
35', Ramirez G. 🟨,
40', Cucchi P. ↓, Orlando J. ↑,
45', Palacio P. 🟨,
45', Palacio P. ↓, Fernandez Pinto J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Luayza M. ↓, Quiroga F. ↑,
53', 🟨,
56', 1 - 1, Garcia F. (Pen),
57', Romero L. ↓, Boolsen P. ↑,
57', Campos M. ↓, Benegas M. ↑,
58', Benegas M. 🟨,
65', Vitale J. 🟨,
73', Dornell T. ↓, Diosquez N. ↑,
73', Gonzalez A. ↓, Baldunciel L. ↑,
78', Garcia M. 🟨,
80', Fernandez Pinto J. 🟥,
83', Garcia F. ↓, Tomasetti G. ↑,
84', Cosi J. ↓, Monserrat M. ↑,
85', Jerez Silva L. 🟨,
89', Boolsen P. 🟨,
90', Quiroga F. 🟥,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferro Carril won 4.
Ferro Carril is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Almagro is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
In this match, Ferro Carril is the team to beat.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ferro Carril won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 1.6:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Ferro Carril won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).