Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 40

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal da Malata (Ferrol)

Where to Watch on TV:


India	GXR World
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar, Movistar+ Lite, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1, Orange Futbol 2


	Ferrol		Cádiz

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.4	Watch
	3.7	3.1	1.98
	3.15	3.1	2.33	Watch
	3.26	3.06	2.47
	3.19	3.04	2.46	Watch
	3	2.9	2.5
	3.22	3.25	2.28	Watch
	3.15	3.1	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.9)	3.08 ↑ (2.9)	2.34 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrol
29.3%

Draw
30.5%

Cádiz
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Cádiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	33.3%	40%

Ferrol - Cádiz Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Ferrol will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Cádiz will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cádiz: 17% – 68.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Ferrol (2.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Ferrol (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cádiz will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferrol (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Cádiz (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Ruiz J. (G) 3. Correa R. 4. Puric A. 15. Castro D. 18. Martinez B. 16. Manzanara F. 10. Sene J. 11. Nacho 6. Sanz A. 8. Pena H. 20. Gimenez A.	13. Caro J. (G) 20. Carcelen I. 5. Chust V. 14. Kovacevic B. 37. Climent M. 7. Sobrino R. 4. Alcaraz R. 8. Fernandez A. 19. De la Rosa J. 9. Marti R. 10. Ocampo B.
Substitutes
7. Borrego C. 17. Dorrio J. 1. Emilio (G) 2. Garcia N. 14. Gelardo A. 12. Insua E. 9. Jauregi E. 5. Naldo 19. Vallejo M. 13. Yoel (G)	26. Aznar V. (G) 27. Diakite M. 32. Dominguez R. (G) 3. Fali 23. Fernandez C. 18. Matos Jose 25. Melendo O. 22. Ontiveros J. 21. Ortega I. 6. San Emeterio F. 2. Zaldua J.
Coaches
Menendez A.	Garitano G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Alcaraz R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', De la Rosa J. ↓, Melendo O. ↑,
65', Pena H. ↓, Garcia N. ↑,
65', Sanz A. ↓, Borrego C. ↑,
75', Martinez B. ↓, Dorrio J. ↑,
75', Sobrino R. ↓, Fernandez C. ↑,
75', Correa R. ↓, Insua E. ↑,
75', Nacho ↓, Gelardo A. ↑,
75', Alcaraz R. ↓, Diakite M. ↑,
82', 1 - 0, Borrego C. (Pen),
83', Ocampo B. ↓, Matos Jose ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Ferrol is Relegated to

Ferrol has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cádiz's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cádiz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cádiz could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Ferrol: Cabaco E. (Knee Injury) Perea L. (Heel Injury)

There will not play in Cádiz: Mwepu F. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Ferrol: Bunuel A. (Eye injury)

There are questionable in Cádiz: Ramos C. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ferrol won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Ferrol won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish LaLiga2
11.05.25	Tenerife - Ferrol	0:0 ✺
04.05.25	Ferrol - Zaragoza	1:2 ✺
29.04.25	Almería - Ferrol	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Ferrol - Eldense	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Real Oviedo - Ferrol	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TLLWL
- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga2
09.05.25	Cádiz - Almería	2:1 ✺
02.05.25	Córdoba - Cádiz	4:2 ✺
25.04.25	Cádiz - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Burgos - Cádiz	2:2 ✺
12.04.25	Cádiz - Elche	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
15.09.24	Cádiz - Ferrol	0:0
Spanish Segunda Division B Losers Play Offs
29.05.16	Ferrol - Cádiz	1:2
21.05.16	Cádiz - Ferrol	0:0

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