Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 16

Date: 22 November 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal da Malata (Ferrol)

Referee: Orellana M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 5
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Georgia	Silk Universal
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Extra 1
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Sport Premium
Portugal	DAZN 5
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, Gol Stadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+ 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3


	Ferrol		Levante

	1	X	2
	3.2	3	2.35	Watch
	3.1	3	2.25
	3.2	3.1	2.3	Watch
	3.39	3.12	2.4
	3.28	3.1	2.36	Watch
	3	3.1	2.38
	3.22	3.26	2.3	Watch
	3.2	3.1	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.87)	3.1 ↑ (2.9)	2.33 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrol
29.4%

Draw
30.3%

Levante
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

31.8%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

30.9%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Levante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levante than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	25%	41.7%

Ferrol - Levante Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ferrol will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Levante will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ferrol: 8% – 64.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Ruiz J. (G) 22. Bunuel A. 4. Puric A. 5. Naldo 21. Moi 6. Sanz A. 16. Manzanara F. 10. Sene J. 11. Nacho 20. Gimenez A. 17. Dorrio J.	1. Fernandez A. (G) 2. Garcia A. 5. Elgezabal U. 4. Dela 16. Varela Pampin D. 20. Rey O. 6. Kochorashvili G. 24. Alvarez C. 23. Martinez P. 11. Morales J. 9. Romero I.
Substitutes
12. Bebe 7. Borrego C. 23. Cabaco E. 26. Carballo D. 15. Castro D. 2. Delmas J. 1. Emilio (G) 8. Lopez A. 13. Yoel (G)	8. Algobia A. 7. Brugue R. 14. Cabello J. 17. Clemente O. 38. Espi C. 12. Fabricio 30. Fernandez V. 21. Lozano S. 29. Navarro M. 36. Pastor A. (G) 32. Primo A. (G) 31. Xavi Grande
Coaches
Parralo C.	Calero J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Dela 🟨,
32', Gimenez A. (Pen),
43', Morales J. ↓, Brugue R. ↑,
45', Puric A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Puric A. ↓, Castro D. ↑,
61', Nacho ↓, Bebe ↑,
63', Sanz A. 🟨,
73', Sene J. ↓, Borrego C. ↑,
75', Kochorashvili G. 🟨,
75', Dela ↓, Cabello J. ↑,
75', Romero I. ↓, Fabricio ↑,
75', Kochorashvili G. ↓, Algobia A. ↑,
83', Martinez P. ↓, Lozano S. ↑,
83', Moi ↓, Delmas J. ↑,
83', Dorrio J. ↓, Carballo D. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Ferrol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Levante will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Levante: Iborra V. (Heel Injury)

There are questionable in Ferrol: Perea L. (Muscle Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ferrol won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1 (average 0:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Ferrol won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish LaLiga2
16.11.24	Eibar - Ferrol	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	Ferrol - Racing Santander	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.24	Cuarte - Ferrol	1:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
28.10.24	Ferrol - Tenerife	1:1 ✺
24.10.24	Burgos - Ferrol	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWTT
- Levante UD
Spanish Copa del Rey
19.11.24	Pontevedra - Levante	4:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
16.11.24	Levante - Elche	1:1 ✺
27.10.24	Granada - Levante	1:2 ✺
24.10.24	Levante - Deportivo A Coruña	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Castellón - Levante	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
18.02.24	Ferrol - Levante	0:0
16.10.23	Levante - Ferrol	1:0

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