Match Info

Catarinense - Relegation Group - Round 6

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Location: Estádio Orlando Scarpelli (Florianópolis)


	Figueirense		Carlos Renaux

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	3.7	5.15
	1.53	3.82	5.84
	1.65	3.8	5	Watch
	1.6	3.4	5
	1.6	3.65	5.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.53)	3.67 ↓ (3.91)	5.29 ↓ (6.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Figueirense
57.7%

Draw
25%

Carlos Renaux
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

23.8%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

25.8%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Figueirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Carlos Renaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Figueirense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Renaux than the current prediction. (-3%)

Figueirense - Carlos Renaux Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Carlos Renaux (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Fabricio Santana (G) 18. da Costa M. 22. Ezequiel 27. Felipe Santiago 91. Hyuri 70. Igor Bolt 30. Jean Mangabeira 25. Jhonnathan 79. Paje 28. Rafinha Potiguar 66. Wesley Costa	1. Edson (G) 2. Arouca 11. Cassio 9. Erverson 6. Gerson 10. Matheus Campos 8. Ruan 5. Vitor Carre 3. Welligton Rocha 7. Willian Mococa 4. Yago Zamora
Substitutes
4. Anderson Conceicao 5. Breno 33. Freitas Barreto P. C. 52. Igo Gabriel (G) 23. Junior (G) 99. Kayke 2. Leo Maia 17. Pablo 36. Saraiva P. 20. Wendell	22. Eduardo Lopes (G) 15. Gabriel Mello 13. Junior 16. Keven 18. Lucas Tadeu 14. Rafael Franco 17. Thiago Tinoco 12. Thierry (G) 20. Welves

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, Hyuri ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, Erverson ⚽,
19', 1 - 2, Erverson ⚽,
22', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Ruan ↓, Welves ↑,
46', Ezequiel ↓, Leo Maia ↑,
46', Rafinha Potiguar ↓, Breno ↑,
46', Hyuri ↓, Kayke ↑,
56', Igor Bolt 🟥,
64', 1 - 3, Matheus Campos ⚽,
66', Arouca ↓, Gabriel Mello ↑,
66', Wesley Costa ↓, Anderson Conceicao ↑,
67', Paje ↓, Pablo ↑,
70', Pablo 🟨,
71', Jhonnathan 🟨,
76', Cassio ↓, Keven ↑,
79', Keven 🟨,
84', Gerson ↓, Rafael Franco ↑,
89', 1 - 4, Gabriel Mello ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 4, Kayke ⚽,

Preview

Figueirense is Relegated to Catarinense 2

In recent matches, Figueirense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Carlos Renaux is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Figueirense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Figueirense is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Figueirense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Figueirense
Copa do Brasil
03.03.26	Figueirense - Azuriz	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
27.02.26	Joinville - Figueirense	0:3 ✺
20.02.26	Figueirense - Náutico Marcílio Dias	0:1 ✺
13.02.26	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Figueirense	1:0 ✺
06.02.26	Figueirense - Joinville	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLLW
- CA Carlos Renaux
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
26.02.26	Carlos Renaux - Náutico Marcílio Dias	2:1 ✺
19.02.26	Carlos Renaux - Joinville	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Joinville - Carlos Renaux	3:0 ✺
09.02.26	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Carlos Renaux	1:1 ✺
02.02.26	Carlos Renaux - Figueirense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
02.02.26	Carlos Renaux - Figueirense	1:0

Figueirense - Carlos Renaux: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide