Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 8

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Estadual Lourival Baptista (Aracaju)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Confiança		Brusque

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3	3.1
	2.01	3.1	3.55	Watch
	2.04	3.33	3.69
	2.06	3.26	3.66	Watch
	2	2.8	3.9
	2.08	3.16	3.67	Watch
	2.01	3.1	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.33)	3.11 ↑ (3.05)	3.59 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Confiança
44.8%

Draw
29.6%

Brusque
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

29.9%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

29.7%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Confiança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Confiança's performance.

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brusque might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Confiança that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+5%)

Confiança - Brusque Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Brusque (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Confiança (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Brusque (2.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Confiança (votes: 1 - 25%). Brusque (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Felipe Scheibig (G) 6. Airton 4. Eduardo Moura 5. Fabio Silva 10. Geovane 3. Maicon 11. Neto Oliveira 13. Renilson 9. Thiago Santos 7. Valdir Junior 2. Weriton	1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 7. Biel Fonseca 27. Diego Mathias 2. Everton Alemao 6. Italo 30. Jean Mangabeira 19. Joao Veras 16. Roberto Rosa 10. Robinho 18. Thomaz 4. Torres J.
Substitutes
16. Alan Cardoso 12. Allan (G) 20. Breiner C. 18. Fabricio Pereira 14. Lucas Souza 15. Luiz Otavio 17. Rafinha 19. Ronald Camarao 8. Vitinho	15. Alex Paulino 22. Andre Luiz (G) 8. Coxa 23. Guilherme Pira 99. Mateus Bahia 28. Mauricio Ribeiro 77. Neto 94. Paulinho Moccelin 29. Thiago Freitas 11. Vinicius Faria

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Joao Veras ⚽,
37', Geovane ↓, Breiner C. ↑,
41', 1 - 1, Neto Oliveira ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 1, Thiago Santos ⚽,
45+3', Roberto Rosa 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Biel Fonseca ↓, Mauricio Ribeiro ↑,
46', Roberto Rosa ↓, Thiago Freitas ↑,
46', Italo ↓, Paulinho Moccelin ↑,
61', Renilson ↓, Rafinha ↑,
61', Thiago Santos ↓, Vitinho ↑,
63', Robinho ↓, Alex Paulino ↑,
63', Diego Mathias ↓, Guilherme Pira ↑,
70', Fabio Silva ↓, Luiz Otavio ↑,
71', Neto Oliveira ↓, Ronald Camarao ↑,
71', 3 - 1, Rafinha ⚽,
78', 4 - 1, Eduardo Moura ⚽,
90+3', Alex Paulino 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Confiança is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Brusque has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Confiança may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Confiança will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Confiança won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 1:3).

Including home match between the teams, Confiança won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie C
24.05.25	CS Alagoano - Confiança	0:0 ✺
19.05.25	Confiança - Londrina	0:2 ✺
10.05.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Confiança	2:0 ✺
03.05.25	Maringá - Confiança	3:2 ✺
26.04.25	Confiança - Ponte Preta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLLLL
- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie C
26.05.25	Brusque - São Bernardo	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
20.05.25	Athletico Paranaense - Brusque	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
17.05.25	Ponte Preta - Brusque	1:4 ✺
10.05.25	Brusque - ABC	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Brusque	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
15.07.23	Brusque - Confiança	4:0
Brazilian Serie B
06.11.21	Confiança - Brusque	3:2
31.07.21	Brusque - Confiança	3:0

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