Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 17

Date: 11 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Orlando Scarpelli (Florianópolis)

Referee: Cardoso Hieger T. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Figueirense		Londrina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	2.95	3.2
	2.15	2.95	3.4	Watch
	2.41	2.99	3.04
	2.14	2.98	3.52	Watch
	2.25	3	2.88
	2.12	2.99	3.45	Watch
	2.15	2.95	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.15)	2.97 ↑ (2.95)	3.27 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Figueirense
41.5%

Draw
30.6%

Londrina
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

31.1%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

31.5%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Figueirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Londrina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (-2%)

Figueirense - Londrina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
47. Ruan Carneiro (G) 11. Alisson Santos 10. Camilo 14. Cedric 27. Genilson (C) 20. Gledson 19. Guilherme Pato 32. Jefinho 21. Leo Baiano 6. Samuel Toscas 4. Thomas Kayck	1. Gabriel Felix (G) 9. Everton 6. Geferson 10. Gustavo Franca 7. Henrique 11. Iago Teles 3. Joao Maistro 8. Kady 2. Mauricio 4. Rayan Ribeiro 5. Taua (C)
Substitutes
30. Bruno Michel 29. Cristian Renato 31. Henrique Rodrigues 5. JP Iseppe 8. Matheus Farinha 3. Rafael Ribeiro 9. Renan Bernabe 24. Ruan Levine 1. Thiago Goncalves (G) 15. Tiago Barbosa 23. Tito 12. Vinicius Barreta (G)	16. Caio Roque 21. Echapora 12. Elzo (G) 19. Ingro 15. Martha 18. Pablo 17. Pedro Cacho 20. Rafael Longuine 13. Rayan 14. Riquelmy
Coaches
Joao Burse	Claudinei Oliveira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Geferson ↓, Caio Roque ↑,
25', Leo Baiano 🟨,
39', Guilherme Pato 🟨,
39', Taua 🟨,
45+4', Genilson 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Thomas Kayck 🟨,
62', 🟨,
63', Leo Baiano ↓, JP Iseppe ↑,
63', Gledson ↓, Matheus Farinha ↑,
67', Gabriel Felix 🟨,
70', Henrique ↓, Ingro ↑,
70', Gustavo Franca ↓, Pablo ↑,
75', Camilo ↓, Henrique Rodrigues ↑,
75', Samuel Toscas ↓, Tito ↑,
82', Joao Maistro ↓, Rayan ↑,
82', Everton ↓, Rafael Longuine ↑,
82', Jefinho ↓, Cristian Renato ↑,
84', Rafael Longuine 🟨,
90+5', Matheus Farinha 🟨,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Figueirense won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Londrina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Figueirense won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Figueirense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Figueirense
Brazilian Serie C
03.08.24	Botafogo PB - Figueirense	3:2 ✺
27.07.24	Figueirense - Remo	1:0 ✺
20.07.24	Tombense - Figueirense	1:1 ✺
14.07.24	Náutico Capibaribe - Figueirense	4:0 ✺
07.07.24	Figueirense - Athletic Club	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWTLT
- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie C
04.08.24	Londrina - Floresta	0:0 ✺
29.07.24	Ferroviária - Londrina	0:0 ✺
20.07.24	Londrina - Caxias	2:0 ✺
13.07.24	Athletic Club - Londrina	2:1 ✺
06.07.24	Aparecidense - Londrina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
15.10.19	Londrina - Figueirense	0:0
19.07.19	Figueirense - Londrina	1:1
18.09.18	Londrina - Figueirense	2:0
05.06.18	Figueirense - Londrina	1:1
17.10.17	Londrina - Figueirense	1:0
27.06.17	Figueirense - Londrina	3:1
Brazilian Primeira Liga
25.01.17	Figueirense - Londrina	0:1

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