Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 12

Date: 6 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio Annibal Batista de Toledo (Aparecida de Goiânia)

Referee: Souza Silva E. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Aparecidense		Londrina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	3.2	2.7
	2.35	3.2	2.8	Watch
	2.34	3.25	3.04
	2.37	3.19	2.84	Watch
	2.2	3.1	2.8
	2.32	3.18	2.85	Watch
	2.3	3.2	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.42)	3.19 ↑ (3.1)	2.84 (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aparecidense
39.4%

Draw
28.6%

Londrina
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

29.7%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

29.5%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aparecidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Aparecidense - Londrina Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Aparecidense will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Londrina will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pedro Henrique (G) 17. Cauari 19. Ezequiel 2. Genilson 5. Guilherme Nunes 20. Juninho 3. Luan Martins 15. Matheus Chaves 7. Rhuan 10. Robert (C) 6. Rodrigues	1. Arthur (G) 9. Daniel Amorim (C) 7. Henrique 11. Iago Teles 3. Joao Maistro 8. Martha 6. Mauricio 10. Rafael Longuine 4. Rayan Ribeiro 5. Taua 2. Thiago Ennes
Substitutes
21. Alan James 8. Du Fernandes 16. Emanuel 14. Enzo 18. Falcao 11. Igor Torres 13. Luan Sales 12. Matheus Alves (G) 23. Matheus Inacio (G) 9. Rubens 25. Victor Hugo 22. Wendell	19. Calyson Rosa 13. Davi 15. Echapora 20. Everton 12. Gabriel Felix (G) 16. Geferson 18. Gustavo Franca 14. Pedro Cacho 17. Samuel Andrade
Coaches
Lucio F.	Claudinei Oliveira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Martha 🟨,
44', Mauricio 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Ezequiel ↓, Rubens ↑,
46', Cauari ↓, Igor Torres ↑,
52', 1 - 0, Igor Torres ⚽, Genilson (A),
54', Martha ↓, Gustavo Franca ↑,
54', Rafael Longuine ↓, Samuel Andrade ↑,
54', Taua ↓, Pedro Cacho ↑,
56', Igor Torres 🟨,
63', Henrique ↓, Calyson Rosa ↑,
66', 🟨,
73', Juninho ↓, Luan Sales ↑,
74', Rhuan ↓, Du Fernandes ↑,
78', Iago Teles ↓, Everton ↑,
90', Genilson ↓, Enzo ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, Daniel Amorim ⚽,
90+4', 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 2, Gustavo Franca ⚽, (A),

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Londrina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Aparecidense
Brazilian Serie C
03.07.24	Botafogo PB - Aparecidense	4:3 ✺
24.06.24	Aparecidense - Náutico Capibaribe	2:2 ✺
15.06.24	Aparecidense - Tombense	2:1 ✺
08.06.24	Ferroviária - Aparecidense	0:0 ✺
01.06.24	Confiança - Aparecidense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTWTL
- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie C
01.07.24	Londrina - Tombense	3:3 ✺
22.06.24	Londrina - Botafogo PB	1:1 ✺
16.06.24	EC São José Porto Alegre - Londrina	0:2 ✺
08.06.24	Londrina - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0 ✺
01.06.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Londrina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTWWL

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