Match Info

Date: 23 November 2020, Monday


	Figueirense		Sampaio Corrêa

	1	X	2
	2.9	3	2.25	Watch
	3	3	2.25
	2.8	2.88	2.45	Watch
	3.15	2.85	2.38
	3.39	2.96	2.5
	3.2	2.88	2.38
	3.13	3.1	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (3.11)	2.95 ↓ (3.09)	2.37 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Figueirense
29.9%

Draw
31.2%

Sampaio Corrêa
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

29.9%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

22.1%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Figueirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Figueirense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sampaio Corrêa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Figueirense - Sampaio Corrêa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation to Serie C and 3 in the zone Promotion to Serie A).

Figueirense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sampaio Corrêa is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sampaio Corrêa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Figueirense won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Figueirense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Figueirense
Brazilian Serie B
20.11.20	Cruzeiro - Figueirense	1:1 ✺
12.11.20	Vitória Salvador - Figueirense	3:0 ✺
07.11.20	Figueirense - Operário Ferroviario	0:1 ✺
02.11.20	Ponte Preta - Figueirense	2:1 ✺
25.10.20	Figueirense - Juventude	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLLLT
- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie B
20.11.20	Sampaio Corrêa - Chapecoense	1:3 ✺
17.11.20	Sampaio Corrêa - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1 ✺
14.11.20	Juventude - Sampaio Corrêa	2:3 ✺
08.11.20	Sampaio Corrêa - Vitória Salvador	2:1 ✺
03.11.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
14.10.20	Sampaio Corrêa - Figueirense	3:0
02.10.18	Sampaio Corrêa - Figueirense	1:0
12.06.18	Figueirense - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0
Copa do Brasil
06.07.16	Figueirense - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0
11.05.16	Sampaio Corrêa - Figueirense	1:2

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