Match Info

Date: 20 November 2020, Friday


	Cruzeiro		Figueirense

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.33	9	Watch
	1.36	4.1	7.5
	1.38	4	7	Watch
	1.46	3.7	7.4
	1.46	4.09	9.27
	1.44	3.7	8.5
	1.46	3.98	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.4)	3.99 ↓ (4.43)	8.12 ↓ (8.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruzeiro
65.4%

Draw
23.2%

Figueirense
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

21.5%

10.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

78.7%

18.5%

9.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Figueirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cruzeiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Cruzeiro - Figueirense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation to Serie C).

Cruzeiro is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Figueirense is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Cruzeiro is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Cruzeiro to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Cruzeiro won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Cruzeiro won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie B
09.11.20	Cruzeiro - Guaraní Asuncion	3:3 ✺
06.11.20	Botafogo SP - Cruzeiro	0:1 ✺
30.10.20	Cruzeiro - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:0 ✺
25.10.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Cruzeiro	1:1 ✺
20.10.20	Operário Ferroviario - Cruzeiro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWWTW
- Figueirense
Brazilian Serie B
12.11.20	Vitória Salvador - Figueirense	3:0 ✺
07.11.20	Figueirense - Operário Ferroviario	0:1 ✺
02.11.20	Ponte Preta - Figueirense	2:1 ✺
25.10.20	Figueirense - Juventude	1:1 ✺
21.10.20	Figueirense - CRB Maceio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
16.08.20	Figueirense - Cruzeiro	0:1
Brazilian Serie A
21.08.16	Figueirense - Cruzeiro	1:2
21.05.16	Cruzeiro - Figueirense	2:2
06.09.15	Cruzeiro - Figueirense	5:1
31.05.15	Figueirense - Cruzeiro	2:1
25.10.14	Figueirense - Cruzeiro	1:1
26.07.14	Cruzeiro - Figueirense	5:0

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