Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 28

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)

Referee: Correia B. (Bra)


	Sampaio Corrêa		Chapecoense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3	4	Watch
	2.16	2.86	4.51
	1.95	2.88	3.8
	2	3.13	4.2	Watch
	2.11	2.95	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.15)	2.96 ↓ (2.98)	4.05 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa
45.5%

Draw
31.5%

Chapecoense
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

31.3%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

30.5%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Sampaio Corrêa - Chapecoense Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Sampaio Corrêa will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Chapecoense will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sampaio Corrêa: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luiz Daniel (G) 17. Samuel Santos 14. Icaro 3. Rafael Jansen 6. Para 5. Mikael 21. Neto Paraiba 10. Robinho 11. Pimentinha 23. Ytalo 19. Vitinho	1. Airton (G) 4. Ferraz V. 13. Bruno Leonardo 43. Lucas Freitas 67. Fabiano 55. Gustavo Cazanotti 7. Giovanni Pavani 20. Bastos T. 97. Marco Antonio 17. Kayke Rodrigues 29. Marcinho
Substitutes
13. Alyson Neves 7. Claudinei 15. Eloir 25. Emerson Carioca 8. Ferreira 4. Gustavo Henrique 16. Lucas Mota 20. Mauricio Maranhao 12. Thiago Braga (G) 18. Thiaguinho 22. Vinicius Alves	22. Bruno 88. Bruno Nazario 51. Carlos Eduardo (G) 2. Felipe Albuquerque 94. Felipe Ferreira 9. Henrique Dourado 8. Kaio Mendes 32. Rodrigo Freitas 15. Ronei
Coaches
Fernandes M.	Oliveira C.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Chapecoense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Chapecoense have a series of home games.

Sampaio Corrêa will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sampaio Corrêa: Ferreira (Injury) Henrique (Injury) Luiz Daniel (Injury)

There will not play in Chapecoense: Leo (Injury) Mauricio Polvora da Silveira (Injury) Pablo Oliveira (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Sampaio Corrêa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie B
09.09.23	Ponte Preta - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
02.09.23	ABC - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Guarani	1:1 ✺
19.08.23	Juventude - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
12.08.23	Sampaio Corrêa - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TTTTT
- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
16.09.23	Figueirense - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
06.09.23	Chapecoense - Barra Santa Catarina	4:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
05.09.23	Chapecoense - Guarani	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
02.09.23	Chapecoense - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
31.08.23	Juventude - Chapecoense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
29.05.23	Chapecoense - Sampaio Corrêa	0:1
11.10.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Chapecoense	2:1
01.07.22	Chapecoense - Sampaio Corrêa	3:1
20.11.20	Sampaio Corrêa - Chapecoense	1:3
16.08.20	Chapecoense - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0

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