Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 2

Date: 5 October 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	06:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Sport
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
Italy	21:00	Sky Sport
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Poland	21:00	Viaplay
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
United Kingdom	20:00	TNT Sports


	Fiorentina		Ferencvárosi

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.2	5.5
	1.53	4.2	5
	1.55	4.3	5.5	Watch
	1.53	4.25	5.5
	1.56	4.55	5.79
	1.51	4.5	5.65
	1.56	4.6	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.36)	4.37 ↓ (5.04)	5.48 ↓ (8.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentina
61.2%

Draw
21.6%

Ferencvárosi
17.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.5%

18.8%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

18.7%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fiorentina's form might have worsened.

Ferencvárosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ferencvárosi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fiorentina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.6%	0%	30.4%

Fiorentina - Ferencvárosi Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 50.8% – 88.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
53. Christensen O. (G) 33. Kayode M. 28. Martinez Quarta L. 16. Ranieri L. 3. Biraghi C. (C) 5. Bonaventura G. 8. Lopez M. 38. Mandragora R. 10. Gonzalez N. 9. Beltran L. 7. Sottil R.	90. Dibusz D. (C) 25. Makreckis C. 3. Mmaee S. 27. Cisse I. 99. Ramirez C. 7. Ben Romdhane M. 18. Siger D. 15. Abu Fani M. 50. Marquinhos 19. Varga B. 16. Zachariassen K.
Substitutes
73. Amatucci L. 6. Arthur Melo 72. Barak A. 77. Brekalo J. 37. Comuzzo P. 32. Duncan A. 11. Ikone J. 19. Infantino G. 99. Kouame C. 4. Milenkovic N. 65. Parisi F. 1. Terracciano P. (G)	22. Abena M. 5. Besic M. 21. Botka E. 17. Civic E. 55. Katona B. 76. Lisztes K. 11. Owusu 23. Paszka L. 72. Pesic A. 63. Radnoti D. (G) 1. Varga A. (G)
Coaches
Italiano V.	Stankovic D.

Preview

Fiorentina is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ferencvárosi in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Fiorentina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fiorentina is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Fiorentina: Dodo (Knee Injury) Mina Y. (Muscle Injury) Pierozzi N. (Abdominal strain)

There will not play in Ferencvárosi: Halmai A. (Knee Injury) Nguen T. C. (Injury) Traore A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Fiorentina: Castrovilli G. (Knee Injury)

Our prediction for today's Fiorentina to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
02.10.23	Fiorentina - Cagliari	3:0 ✺
28.09.23	Frosinone - Fiorentina	1:1 ✺
24.09.23	Udinese - Fiorentina	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.09.23	Genk - Fiorentina	2:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
17.09.23	Fiorentina - Atalanta	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTWTW
- Ferencvárosi TC
Hungarian NB I
30.09.23	MTK Budapest - Ferencvárosi	1:6 ✺
27.09.23	Ferencvárosi - Kecskemeti	1:0 ✺
24.09.23	Ferencvárosi - Kisvárda	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.09.23	Ferencvárosi - Čukarički	3:1 ✺
Hungarian NB I
03.09.23	Zalaegerszegi TE - Ferencvárosi	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
02.11.26	Sassuolo - Fiorentina	✺
29.10.26	Fiorentina - Atalanta	✺
- Ferencvárosi TC
UEFA Europa League
05.11.26	Milan - Ferencvárosi	✺
Hungarian NB I
01.11.26	Ferencvárosi - Paksi SE	✺

Fiorentina - Ferencvárosi