Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 6

Date: 28 September 2023, Thursday

Location: Stadio Benito Stirpe (Frosinone)

Referee: Fourneau F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Setanta Sports Eurasia


	Frosinone		Fiorentina

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.5	2.05	Watch
	3.6	3.4	2.05
	3.6	3.6	2.05	Watch
	3.6	3.5	2.05
	3.78	3.54	2.1
	3.5	3.5	2.05
	3.55	3.6	2.06	Watch
	3.6	3.6	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↓ (3.94)	3.53 ↓ (3.66)	2.06 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frosinone
26.5%

Draw
27.1%

Fiorentina
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

25.6%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

25.8%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.8%	20%	62.2%

Frosinone - Fiorentina Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Frosinone will win (votes: 8 - 17.8%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 28 - 62.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 48% – 76.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
80. Turati S. (G) 22. Oyono A. 5. Okoli C. 6. Romagnoli S. 3. Marchizza R. 36. Mazzitelli L. (C) 45. Barrenechea E. 4. Brescianini M. 18. Soule M. 70. Cheddira W. 7. Baez J.	1. Terracciano P. (G) 3. Biraghi C. (C) 4. Milenkovic N. 28. Martinez Quarta L. 65. Parisi F. 6. Arthur Melo 32. Duncan A. 10. Gonzalez N. 5. Bonaventura G. 7. Sottil R. 18. Nzola M.
Substitutes
26. Bidaoui S. 24. Bourabia M. 10. Caso G. 31. Cerofolini M. (G) 11. Cuni M. 1. Frattali P. (G) 16. Garritano L. 27. Ibrahimovic A. 17. Kvernadze G. 8. Lulic K. 47. Lusuardi M. 30. Monterisi I. 12. Reinier	73. Amatucci L. 72. Barak A. 9. Beltran L. 77. Brekalo J. 53. Christensen O. (G) 37. Comuzzo P. 11. Ikone J. 19. Infantino G. 33. Kayode M. 99. Kouame C. 8. Lopez M. 38. Mandragora R. 30. Martinelli T. (G) 16. Ranieri L. 40. Vannucchi T. (G)
Coaches
Di Francesco E.	Italiano V.

Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 9 and 7).

Recent matches Frosinone is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fiorentina is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Frosinone could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Fiorentina will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Frosinone: Lirola P. (Injury)

There will not play in Fiorentina: Dodo (Knee Injury) Pierozzi N. (Abdominal strain)

There are questionable in Frosinone: Gelli F. (Injury) Harroui A. (Injury) Kalaj S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Fiorentina: Castrovilli G. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez N. (Injury) Mina Y. (Muscle Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Frosinone won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Frosinone won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie A
22.09.23	Salernitana - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Frosinone - Sassuolo	4:2 ✺
02.09.23	Udinese - Frosinone	0:0 ✺
26.08.23	Frosinone - Atalanta	2:1 ✺
19.08.23	Frosinone - Napoli	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 TWTWL
- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
24.09.23	Udinese - Fiorentina	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.09.23	Genk - Fiorentina	2:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
17.09.23	Fiorentina - Atalanta	3:2 ✺
03.09.23	Inter Milan - Fiorentina	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.08.23	Fiorentina - Rapid Wien	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
07.04.19	Fiorentina - Frosinone	0:1
09.11.18	Frosinone - Fiorentina	1:1
20.03.16	Frosinone - Fiorentina	0:0
01.11.15	Fiorentina - Frosinone	4:1

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