Match Info

Serie A - Round 4

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo (Venice) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Fourneau F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Football
Albania	20:45	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	15:45	Disney+, ESPN 4
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	04:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Bangladesh	00:45	Begin
Bolivia	14:45	ESPN 4
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	15:45	Claro TV+, Disney+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
Bulgaria	21:45	Max Sport 3
Canada	14:45	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network
Colombia	13:45	ESPN 4
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	20:45	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	20:45	DAZN, TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Ecuador	13:45	ESPN 4
Finland	21:45	DAZN, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	20:45	DAZN France
Georgia	22:45	Silk Sport 3
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	02:45	beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	20:45	Match 4
India	00:15	ZEE5
Indonesia	01:45	Vidio
Iraq	21:45	Almanasa
Israel	21:45	Sport 3
Italy	20:45	DAZN Italia
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
Kuwait	21:45	Shasha
Macao	02:45	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	02:45	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	20:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	12:45	Disney+
New Zealand	06:45	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	20:45	MaxTV GO
Norway	20:45	VG+
Paraguay	14:45	ESPN 4
Peru	13:45	Disney+, ESPN 4
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 1
Romania	21:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Russia	21:45	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	21:45	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	20:45	Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 3
Slovakia	20:45	Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 2
South Africa	20:45	SuperSport Football
South Korea	03:45	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Suriname	15:45	SCCN
Sweden	20:45	DAZN, TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	01:45	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	19:45	Diwan Sport
Turkey	21:45	S Sport 2
United Kingdom	19:45	DAZN
Uruguay	15:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+, Peacock, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	14:45	Disney+, ESPN 4, Inter


	Venezia		Fiorentina

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.38
	2.60	3.40	2.55
	2.85	3.3	2.45	Watch
	2.93	3.65	2.52
	2.8	3.4	2.52	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.45
	2.94	3.45	2.43
	2.9	3.45	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.79)	3.43 ↑ (3.33)	2.48 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Venezia
33.4%

Draw
27.9%

Fiorentina
38.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.1%

28.6%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

30.1%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.7%	22.6%	67.7%

Venezia - Fiorentina Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Venezia will win (votes: 3 - 9.7%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 21 - 67.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 22.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 51.2% – 84.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Fiorentina (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.50) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Fiorentina (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Venezia (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Venezia (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Fiorentina (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stankovic F. (G) 3. Schingtienne J. 2. Moreno M. 5. Haps R. 18. Hainaut A. 71. Perez K. 6. Busio G. (C) 19. Sohm S. 20. Sagrado R. 10. Yeboah J. 45. Adams A.	43. de Gea D. (C) 20. Jimenez A. 3. Dragusin R. 6. Ranieri L. 33. Viery 44. Fagioli N. 27. Ndour C. 14. Atta A. 30. Mastantuono F. 23. Beto 25. Njie A.
Substitutes
36. Berardi L. 14. Correia T. 8. Fanne L. 77. Fernandez T. 95. Gomes A. 25. Halhal R. 21. Helgason T. J. 15. Juan Jesus 29. Lauberbach L. 56. Lisman K. 70. Mazzocchi P. 16. Mohammed R. 96. Montipo L. (G) 55. Panada S. 7. Rrahmani A.	4. Brescianini M. 53. Christensen O. (G) 2. Dodo 29. Gnonto W. 42. Inao Oulai C. 17. Joao Mario 19. Lezzerini L. (G) 32. Pellegrino M. 5. Pongracic M. 28. Pote 21. Valdepenas V.
Coaches
Stroppa G.	Vanoli P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
22', 1 - 0, Adams A. ⚽, Busio G. (A),
29', 1 - 1, Mastantuono F. ⚽, Jimenez A. (A),
30', 1 - 2, Mastantuono F. ⚽, Beto (A),
38', Schingtienne J. 🟨,
44', Busio G. ↓, Helgason T. J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
60', Atta A. ↓, Gnonto W. ↑,
60', Beto ↓, Pellegrino M. ↑,
66', 1 - 3, Pellegrino M. ⚽, Fagioli N. (A),
69', Sagrado R. ↓, Correia T. ↑,
69', Moreno M. ↓, Juan Jesus ↑,
72', Njie A. 🟨,
73', Sohm S. 🟨,
80', Yeboah J. ↓, Fernandez T. ↑,
80', Sohm S. ↓, Lauberbach L. ↑,
80', Njie A. ↓, Pote ↑,
84', 1 - 4, Mastantuono F. ⚽,
86', 2 - 4, Hainaut A. ⚽, Haps R. (A),
89', Ranieri L. ↓, Pongracic M. ↑,
89', Mastantuono F. ↓, Brescianini M. ↑,

Preview

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Fiorentina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Fiorentina has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Venezia: Adorante A. (Hernia) Basic T. (Foot Injury) Bella-Kotchap A. (Injury) Dagasso M. (Inactive) Franjic B. (Injury) Sverko M. (Hip Injury)

There will not play in Fiorentina: Parisi F. (Knee Injury) Sottil R. (Back Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venezia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 0.8:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Venezia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Fiorentina	8	1	1	6	9:19	-10	4
20	Venezia	8	1	0	7	6:17	-11	3

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Fiorentina: 0.18% Venezia: 0.13%

Last Results with these Odds

Fiorentina - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 37.32%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venezia FC
Italian Serie A
06.09.26	Frosinone - Venezia	3:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
02.09.26	Udinese - Venezia	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
28.08.26	Milan - Venezia	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Venezia - Lecce	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
15.08.26	Venezia - Modena	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLW
- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
05.09.26	Fiorentina - Torino	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Fiorentina - Frosinone	0:3 ✺
24.08.26	Roma - Fiorentina	4:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
14.08.26	Fiorentina - Benevento	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
06.08.26	Fiorentina - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
12.05.25	Venezia - Fiorentina	2:1
25.08.24	Fiorentina - Venezia	0:0
16.04.22	Fiorentina - Venezia	1:0
18.10.21	Venezia - Fiorentina	1:0
Club Friendly
21.07.18	Fiorentina - Venezia	0:1

Upcoming Matches