Match Info

Serie A - Round 11

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Via del Mare (Lecce)

Referee: Abisso R. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Football
Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 4
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	215 DAZN Zona, DAZN 2, DAZN Italia, Primavera TV, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kuwait	Shasha
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Lecce		Verona

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.8	2.8	Watch
	2.92	2.72	2.92	Watch
	3	2.81	2.98
	2.73	2.91	2.92	Watch
	2.97	2.87	3.03
	2.79	2.93	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.72)	2.84 ↓ (2.89)	2.94 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecce
33.4%

Draw
33.9%

Verona
32.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.9%

32.8%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

32.5%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Verona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verona than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5%	75%	20%

Lecce - Verona Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Lecce will win (votes: 1 - 5%). Verona will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 56% – 94%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Falcone W. (C) 17. Veiga D. 4. Gaspar K. 44. Tiago Gabriel 25. Gallo A. 20. Ramadani Y. 29. Coulibaly L. 7. Tete Morente 10. Berisha M. 19. Banda L. 9. Stulic N.	1. Montipo L. (C) 37. Bella-Kotchap A. 15. Nelsson V. 6. Valentini N. 7. Belghali R. 11. Akpa Akpro J. 63. Gagliardini R. 21. Harroui A. 12. Bradaric D. 17. Giovane 16. Orban G.
Substitutes
22. Camarda F. 1. Fruchtl C. (G) 14. Helgason T. J. 77. Kaba M. 21. Kouassi C. 93. Maleh Y. 3. Ndaba C. 11. Ndri K. 50. Pierotti S. 6. Sala A. 32. Samooja J. (G) 5. Siebert J. 23. Sottil R.	72. Ajayi J. 73. Al Musrati 24. Bernede A. 70. Cham F. 23. Ebosse E. 3. Frese M. 20. Kastanos G. 25. Mosquera D. 36. Niasse C. 5. Nunez U. 34. Perilli S. (G) 9. Sarr A. 19. Slotsager T. 94. Toniolo G. (G)
Coaches
Di Francesco E.	Zanetti P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Akpa Akpro J. 🟨,
40', Coulibaly L. 🟨,
43', Valentini N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Bradaric D. 🟨,
55', Harroui A. ↓, Bernede A. ↑,
66', Tete Morente ↓, Pierotti S. ↑,
66', Stulic N. ↓, Camarda F. ↑,
74', Bradaric D. ↓, Frese M. ↑,
74', Giovane ↓, Sarr A. ↑,
77', Banda L. ↓, Sottil R. ↑,
86', Berisha M. ↓, Kaba M. ↑,
86', Orban G. ↓, Niasse C. ↑,
90+3', Frese M. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 1.

In recent matches, Lecce has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Verona is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Lecce: Jean G. (Knee Injury) Rafia H. (Inactive)

There will not play in Verona: Suslov T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Lecce: Marchwinski F. (Knee Injury) Perez M. (Illness) Pierret B. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Verona: Oyegoke D. (Foot Injury) Santiago Y. (Illness) Serdar S. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Lecce won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Lecce
Italian Serie A
02.11.25	Fiorentina - Lecce	0:1 ✺
28.10.25	Lecce - Napoli	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Udinese - Lecce	3:2 ✺
18.10.25	Lecce - Sassuolo	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Parma - Lecce	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WLLTW
- Hellas Verona
Italian Serie A
02.11.25	Verona - Inter Milan	1:2 ✺
29.10.25	Como - Verona	3:1 ✺
26.10.25	Verona - Cagliari	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Pisa - Verona	0:0 ✺
03.10.25	Verona - Sassuolo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
11.05.25	Verona - Lecce	1:1
29.10.24	Lecce - Verona	1:0
10.03.24	Lecce - Verona	0:1
27.11.23	Verona - Lecce	2:2
07.05.23	Lecce - Verona	0:1
21.01.23	Verona - Lecce	2:0
26.01.20	Verona - Lecce	3:0

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