Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega (Cusco)

Referee: Aragon A. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN 3
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Ecuador	ESPN 3
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 3


	Cienciano		Botafogo RJ

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.25	2.63	Watch
	2.65	3.20	2.60
	2.60	3.10	2.75	Watch
	2.70	3.27	2.69
	2.59	3.25	2.79	Watch
	2.70	3.20	2.60
	2.58	3.20	2.71	Watch
	2.75	3.35	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.07)	3.23 ↓ (3.45)	2.68 ↓ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cienciano
35.5%

Draw
29.3%

Botafogo RJ
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

27.2%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

27.2%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cienciano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cienciano's form might have worsened.

Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Botafogo RJ's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cienciano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Botafogo RJ, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Cienciano - Botafogo RJ Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 22. Cabello C. 4. Amondarain M. 3. Becerra K. 16. Martinich M. 88. Barreto G. 9. Romagnoli J. 7. Souza Espana C. 10. Hohberg A. (C) 11. Bandiera N. 19. Succar M.	17. Warleson (G) 4. Ponte M. 34. Justino G. 5. Ferraresi N. 21. Marcal (C) 75. Huguinho 6. Medina C. 11. Matheus Martins 8. Danilo Santos 10. Montoro A. 37. Barria K.
Substitutes
26. Aguilar R. 8. Aguirre G. 39. Caparo H. 14. Cavero S. 1. Falcon G. (G) 18. La Torre D. 13. Nunez C. 29. Robles A. 25. Salazar R. 17. Sandoval R. 27. Yovera A.	13. Alex Telles 91. Andrade D. 19. Arthur Cabral 9. Danilo Pereira 88. Edenilson 12. Gabriel Batista (G) 7. Junior Santos 59. Kauan Toledo 33. Monzon L. 23. Rodriguez S. 77. Villalba Jaume L. M. 2. Vitinho
Coaches
Melgarejo H.	Carvalho F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Succar M. ⚽, Hohberg A. (A),
20', 2 - 0, Bandiera N. ⚽, Amondarain M. (A),
30', 3 - 0, Succar M. ⚽,
35', 4 - 0, Martinich M. ⚽, Hohberg A. (A),
37', Montoro A. ↓, Kauan Toledo ↑,
37', Barria K. ↓, Arthur Cabral ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Romagnoli J. ↓, Robles A. ↑,
46', Robles A. 🟨,
49', 4 - 1, Matheus Martins ⚽,
56', Marcal ↓, Alex Telles ↑,
62', 5 - 1, Bandiera N. ⚽, Hohberg A. (A),
63', Danilo Santos ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
64', Medina C. ↓, Edenilson ↑,
71', Bandiera N. ↓, Caparo H. ↑,
78', 6 - 1, Succar M. ⚽, Souza Espana C. (A),
86', Justino G. 🟨,
87', Barreto G. ↓, Aguirre G. ↑,
90', Souza Espana C. ↓, Sandoval R. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Cienciano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Botafogo RJ - the odds 3.39 are the expected chance of winning is 27.61%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cienciano
Peruvian Liga 1
06.08.26	Alianza Atlético - Cienciano	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	Cienciano - Universitario de Deportes	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.07.26	Cienciano - Lanús	4:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
25.07.26	Juan Pablo II College - Cienciano	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
22.07.26	Lanús - Cienciano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWLL
- Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
08.08.26	Botafogo RJ - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
26.07.26	Cruzeiro - Botafogo RJ	0:1 ✺
23.07.26	Botafogo RJ - Vitória Salvador	0:0 ✺
16.07.26	Botafogo RJ - Santos	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.07.26	Dynamo Moscow - Botafogo RJ	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWTW?

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