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Flamengo vs Bahia Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, April 19, 2026)

Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 12

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Rodrigues F. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol
United-arab-emirates	Dubai Sports 1


	Flamengo		Bahia

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.5	6.5
	1.46	4.45	6.4
	1.47	4.75	7.19
	1.48	4.53	6.6
	1.44	4	6
	1.48	4.65	7.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 (1.46)	4.48 ↑ (4.05)	6.63 ↑ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flamengo
64.7%

Draw
21.1%

Bahia
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

22.6%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

21.7%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Flamengo will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Bahia will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rossi A. (G) 2. Varela G. 3. Leo Ortiz 4. Leo Pereira 26. Alex Sandro 52. Evertton Araujo 20. Lucas Paqueta 19. Plata G. 14. de Arrascaeta G. (C) 16. Samuel Lino 9. Pedro	22. Leo Vieira (G) 2. Gilberto 33. David Duarte 21. Ramos S. 46. Luciano Juba 10. Everton Ribeiro (C) 5. Nicolas Acevedo 6. Jean Lucas 99. Olivera C. 12. Willian Jose 16. Erick Pulga
Substitutes
6. Ayrton Lucas 27. Bruno Henrique 13. Danilo 42. da Silva Ventura A. (G) 18. de la Cruz N. 49. Dyogo Alves (G) 22. Emerson Royal 11. Everton 7. Luiz Araujo 8. Niguez S. 44. Vitao 64. Wallace Yan	7. Ademir 8. Caio Alexandre 14. Erick 27. Everaldo 3. Gabriel Xavier 31. Gomez R. 25. Iago Borduchi 34. Joao Paulo (G) 4. Kanu 15. Michel Araujo 11. Rodrigo 23. Sanabria M.
Coaches
Jardim L.	Mucke R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, de Arrascaeta G. ⚽, Pedro (A),
18', de Arrascaeta G. 🟨,
44', Leo Pereira 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Willian Jose ↓, Everaldo ↑,
46', Gilberto ↓, Caio Alexandre ↑,
66', Samuel Lino ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
74', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Michel Araujo ↑,
74', Erick Pulga ↓, Ademir ↑,
79', Evertton Araujo ↓, Niguez S. ↑,
79', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, de la Cruz N. ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Lucas Paqueta ⚽, Niguez S. (A),
85', Plata G. ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
85', Pedro ↓, Everton ↑,
85', Olivera C. ↓, Sanabria M. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 4.

Flamengo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bahia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bahia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Flamengo is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Flamengo: Carrascal J. (Red Card) Jorginho (Inactive) Pulgar E. (Inactive)

There will not play in Bahia: Ronaldo Strada (Injury) Ruan Pablo (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Bahia: Ademir (Injury) Kanu (Hamstring Injury)

We predict that Flamengo will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 40:18. (average 2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:7. (average 2.2:0.7).

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Outrights of Brazilian Serie A for now

Flamengo RJ: 34.06% Bahia: 1.22%

Standings

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Flamengo RJ	16	9	4	3	28:16	12	31
8	Bahia	15	6	5	4	21:19	2	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flamengo RJ
Copa Libertadores
16.04.26	Flamengo - Independiente Medellín	4:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
12.04.26	Fluminense - Flamengo	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.04.26	Cusco - Flamengo	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
05.04.26	Flamengo - Santos	3:1 ✺
02.04.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Flamengo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWL
- EC Bahia
Brazilian Serie A
11.04.26	Mirassol - Bahia	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Bahia - Palmeiras	1:2 ✺
01.04.26	Bahia - Athletico Paranaense	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Remo - Bahia	4:1 ✺
18.03.26	Bahia - Red Bull Bragantino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
05.10.25	Bahia - Flamengo	1:0
10.05.25	Flamengo - Bahia	1:0
05.10.24	Bahia - Flamengo	0:2
Copa do Brasil
12.09.24	Flamengo - Bahia	1:0
28.08.24	Bahia - Flamengo	0:1
Brazilian Serie A
20.06.24	Flamengo - Bahia	2:1
30.09.23	Flamengo - Bahia	1:0

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