Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 8

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Neo Quimica Arena (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Flow Eventos
Brazil	Caze TV, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Mexico	Azteca Deportes
Paraguay	Flow Eventos
Portugal	Canal 11
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Spain	Movistar Plus+
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Flow
Usa	Fanatiz


	Corinthians		Flamengo

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	2.25	Watch
	3.5	3.25	2.15
	3.25	2.98	2.32	Watch
	3.5	3.13	2.38
	3.4	3.16	2.29
	3.3	2.9	2.25
	3.57	3.19	2.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (3.4)	3.1 ↓ (3.3)	2.28 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corinthians
27.8%

Draw
30.6%

Flamengo
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

28.7%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

28.8%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Corinthians - Flamengo Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Flamengo will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 1 - 50%). Flamengo (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Corinthians (3.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Flamengo (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hugo Souza (G) 2. Matheuzinho 3. Gabriel Paulista 13. Gustavo Henrique (C) 21. Matheus Bidu 14. Raniele 19. Carrillo A. 7. Breno Bidon 49. Andre 10. Depay M. 9. Yuri Alberto	1. Rossi A. (G) 2. Varela G. 13. Danilo 44. Vitao 26. Alex Sandro 52. Evertton Araujo 21. Jorginho 20. Lucas Paqueta 10. de Arrascaeta G. (C) 16. Samuel Lino 9. Pedro
Substitutes
5. Andre Ramalho 26. Angileri F. 35. Charles Rigon 8. Garro R. 56. Gui Negao 4. Joao Pedro 51. Kaue (G) 31. Kayke 52. Labyad Z. 20. Milans P. 23. Pereira M. 11. Vitinho	6. Ayrton Lucas 15. Carrascal J. 42. da Silva Ventura A. (G) 18. de la Cruz N. 49. Dyogo Alves (G) 22. Emerson Royal 11. Everton 3. Leo Ortiz 7. Luiz Araujo 64. Wallace Yan
Coaches
Dorival Junior	Jardim L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', Alex Sandro 🟨,
3', 0 - 1, Lucas Paqueta ⚽, Pedro (A),
19', 1 - 1, Yuri Alberto ⚽, Matheus Bidu (A),
22', Depay M. ↓, Garro R. ↑,
42', Jorginho 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Alex Sandro ↓, Ayrton Lucas ↑,
52', Evertton Araujo 🟥,
61', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, de la Cruz N. ↑,
62', Samuel Lino ↓, Carrascal J. ↑,
64', Carrillo A. ↓, Kayke ↑,
79', Andre ↓, Gui Negao ↑,
79', Breno Bidon ↓, Pereira M. ↑,
80', Pedro ↓, Wallace Yan ↑,
88', Raniele 🟨,
90', Vitao ↓, Leo Ortiz ↑,
90+1', Vitao 🟨,
90+9', Garro R. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 1.

Recent form of Corinthians has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Flamengo is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Corinthians may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Corinthians has had a series of away games.

Flamengo might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Corinthians: Carrillo A. (Inactive) Depay M. (Inactive) Felipe Longo (Inactive) Gabriel Paulista (Inactive) Hugo (Injury) Kaio Cesar (Inactive)

There will not play in Flamengo: Bruno Henrique (Inactive) Leo Pereira (Yellow Cards) Niguez S. (Ankle Injury) Pulgar E. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Flamengo: Emerson Royal (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 14:33. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.8:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Flamengo RJ	29	18	7	4	57:25	32	61
16	Corinthians	29	8	8	13	30:34	-4	32

Last Results with these Odds

Corinthians - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 27.86%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Flamengo - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 43.46%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A
19.03.26	Chapecoense - Corinthians	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Santos - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
11.03.26	Corinthians - Coritiba	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
28.02.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Corinthians	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
25.02.26	Cruzeiro - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTLLT
- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
19.03.26	Flamengo - Remo	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Botafogo RJ - Flamengo	0:3 ✺
11.03.26	Flamengo - Cruzeiro	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
08.03.26	Fluminense - Flamengo	0:1 penalties ✺
02.03.26	Madureira - Flamengo	0:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Supercopa do Brasil
01.02.26	Flamengo - Corinthians	0:2
Brazilian Serie A
28.09.25	Corinthians - Flamengo	1:2
27.04.25	Flamengo - Corinthians	4:0
Copa do Brasil
20.10.24	Corinthians - Flamengo	0:0
02.10.24	Flamengo - Corinthians	1:0
Brazilian Serie A
01.09.24	Corinthians - Flamengo	2:1
11.05.24	Flamengo - Corinthians	2:0

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