Match Info

League Two - Round 35

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Highbury Stadium (Fleetwood)

Referee: Searle I. (Eng)


	Fleetwood Town		Newport County

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.8	5	Watch
	1.65	3.95	4.95	Watch
	1.65	3.98	5.25
	1.69	3.82	4.66	Watch
	1.62	3.7	5
	1.63	3.85	5.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.67)	3.85 ↑ (3.72)	4.99 ↑ (4.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fleetwood Town
57.1%

Draw
24.2%

Newport County
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

24.8%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

23.6%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Fleetwood Town - Newport County Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Fleetwood will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Newport will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Lynch J. (G) 26. Rooney S. 35. Haughey C. 5. Potter F. 20. Neal H. 16. Ennis E. 6. Bonds E. (C) 10. Helm M. 24. Clark M. 17. Evans C. 7. Osong D. E.	28. Wright J. (G) 2. Evans C. 4. Baker M. (C) 23. Delaney R. 3. Driscoll-Glennon A. 21. Spellman M. 5. Sprangler S. 10. Biggins H. 20. Lloyd B. 9. Baker-Richardson C. 24. Opoku N.
Substitutes
9. Davies W. 29. Devonport O. 37. Hewitson L. (G) 32. Hughes K. 38. McLean C. 22. Powell J. 8. Virtue-Thick M.	16. Crole J. 17. Davies T. 19. Garner G. 7. Kamwa B. 13. MacDonald S. (G) 8. Smith M. 32. Warner J.
Coaches
Lawlor M.	Fuchs Ch.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Potter F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Spellman M. ↓, Davies T. ↑,
63', Neal H. ↓, Virtue-Thick M. ↑,
70', Lloyd B. ↓, Garner G. ↑,
73', Clark M. ↓, Powell J. ↑,
73', Osong D. E. ↓, Davies W. ↑,
79', Driscoll-Glennon A. ↓, Smith M. ↑,
86', Opoku N. ↓, Crole J. ↑,
86', Crole J. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).

Fleetwood has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Newport is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Fleetwood is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Fleetwood: Coughlan R. (Inactive) Hume D. (Inactive) Johnson W. (Inactive) McCann L. (Inactive)

There will not play in Newport: Brennan C. (Inactive) Smith M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Fleetwood: Bolton J. (Inactive) Morrison G. (Inactive) Norwood J. (Inactive)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 1.6:0.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Fleetwood won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Newport: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Newport	10	3	4	3	13:12	1	13
16	Fleetwood	10	2	5	3	10:11	-1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Newport County - the odds 4.61 are the expected chance of winning is 19.98%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fleetwood Town
English League Two
21.02.26	Fleetwood Town - Barrow	3:2 ✺
17.02.26	Crewe Alexandra - Fleetwood Town	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Oldham Athletic - Fleetwood Town	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Fleetwood Town - Bromley	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Fleetwood Town - Notts County	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWTLL
- Newport County
English League Two
21.02.26	Newport County - Cambridge United	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Salford City - Newport County	1:3 ✺
14.02.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Newport County	1:0 ✺
11.02.26	Swindon Town - Newport County	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Newport County - Grimsby Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
13.12.25	Newport County - Fleetwood Town	0:2
26.04.25	Fleetwood Town - Newport County	2:0
26.10.24	Newport County - Fleetwood Town	0:0
04.03.14	Newport County - Fleetwood Town	0:0
02.11.13	Fleetwood Town - Newport County	4:1

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