The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Newport County 16.7%
Draw 24.6%
Cambridge United 58.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.8%
26.4%
50.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22%
25.5%
52.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newport County's form might have worsened.
Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cambridge United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newport County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cambridge United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
0%
66.7%
Newport County - Cambridge United Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Cambridge will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Wright J. (G) 12. Thomas J. 4. Baker M. (C) 23. Delaney R. 17. Davies T. 5. Sprangler S. 2. Evans C. 10. Biggins H. 20. Lloyd B. 9. Baker-Richardson C. 16. Crole J.
1. Eastwood J. (G) 26. Gibbons J. 23. Jobe M. 6. Watts K. 2. Bennett L. 4. Ball D. (C) 21. McLoughlin S. 7. Brophy J. 14. Knight B. 17. Mpanzu P. 9. Appere L.
Substitutes
3. Driscoll-Glennon A. 19. Garner G. 40. Jarvis C. 13. MacDonald S. (G) 24. Opoku N. 21. Spellman M. 32. Warner J.
25. Hughes B. (G) 11. Kaikai S. 19. Lavery S. 24. Nevitt E. 3. Purrington B. 28. Raggett S. 8. Smith K.
Coaches
Fuchs Ch.
Harris N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Mpanzu P. 🟨,
18', Davies T. ↓, Driscoll-Glennon A. ↑,
41', Lloyd B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Thomas J. ↓, Jarvis C. ↑,
50', Sprangler S. 🟨,
56', Ball D. 🟨,
58', Baker-Richardson C. ↓, Spellman M. ↑,
62', Mpanzu P. ↓, Kaikai S. ↑,
62', Appere L. ↓, Lavery S. ↑,
62', McLoughlin S. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
71', Crole J. ↓, Opoku N. ↑,
72', Lloyd B. ↓, Garner G. ↑,
73', 0 - 1, Bennett L. ⚽, Gibbons J. (A),
76', 0 - 2, Kaikai S. ⚽,
80', Knight B. ↓, Purrington B. ↑,
89', Brophy J. ↓, Nevitt E. ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 1.
Newport has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Cambridge is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Newport has had a series of away games.
In this match, Cambridge is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Newport: Brennan C.
(Inactive)
Smith M.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Cambridge: Kouassi K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Mayor A.
(Inactive)
Morrison M.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Cambridge: Ball D.
(Inactive)
Bradshaw Z.
(Inactive)
Hoddle G.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newport won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 29:27. (average 1.5:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.7:1.1).
Watch
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Wright J. (G) 
Thomas J. 
Delaney R. 
Sprangler S. 
Mpanzu P. 
Appere L. 
Opoku N. 
Kaikai S. 
Lavery S. 
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