The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Milton Keynes Dons 70.8%
Draw 18.2%
Newport County 11%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.3%
19.5%
12.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.9%
18.3%
11.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90%
0%
10%
Milton Keynes Dons - Newport County Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Milton Keynes Dons will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. MacGillivray C. (G) 21. Ekpiteta M. 25. Nelson C. 15. Offord L. 6. Kelly L. 2. Jones G. 26. Wiles B. 8. Gilbey A. (C) 22. Mellish J. 10. Collins A. 13. Paterson C.
28. Wright J. (G) 12. Thomas J. 6. Brennan C. 4. Baker M. (C) 3. Driscoll-Glennon A. 5. Sprangler S. 7. Kamwa B. 40. Jarvis C. 19. Garner G. 21. Spellman M. 16. Crole J.
Substitutes
7. Crowley D. 29. Hepburn-Murphy R. 9. Hogan S. 28. Matete J. 16. Nemane A. 14. Tomlinson J. 27. Trueman C. (G)
10. Biggins H. 23. Delaney R. 2. Evans C. 22. Jamieson L. 20. Lloyd B. 13. MacDonald S. (G) 24. Opoku N.
Coaches
Warne P.
Fuchs Ch.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Collins A. ⚽,
22', Spellman M. 🟨,
38', Brennan C. ↓, Delaney R. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jarvis C. ↓, Biggins H. ↑,
46', Crole J. ↓, Opoku N. ↑,
63', Paterson C. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Paterson C. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,
77', Collins A. ↓, Matete J. ↑,
79', Sprangler S. 🟨,
86', Garner G. ↓, Lloyd B. ↑,
86', Kamwa B. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
90+5', Kelly L. ↓, Crowley D. ↑,
90+10', Hepburn-Murphy R. 🟨,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 2.
MK Dons is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Newport has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
MK Dons may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, MK Dons is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in MK Dons: Collar W.
(Inactive)
Lemonheigh-Evans C.
(Inactive)
Mendez-Laing N.
(Inactive)
Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Newport: Smith M.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in MK Dons: Maguire L.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Newport: Baker-Richardson C.
(Inactive)
Kamwa B.
(Inactive)
We predict that MK Dons will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.7:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2:0.3).
Watch
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MacGillivray C. (G) 
Ekpiteta M. 
Kelly L. 
Jones G. 
Collins A. 
Sprangler S. 
Kamwa B. 
Nemane A. 
Opoku N. 
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