Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 23

Date: 23 December 2023, Saturday

Location: Sixfields Stadium (Northampton)

Referee: Hicks C. (Eng)


	Northampton Town		Oxford United

	1	X	2
	3	3.6	2.25
	3.1	3.3	2.2
	3.1	3.4	2.25
	3.19	3.45	2.33
	3.19	3.45	2.33
	3	3.4	2.2
	3.1	3.34	2.27	Watch
	3	3.4	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.97)	3.42 ↑ (3.35)	2.26 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northampton Town
30.6%

Draw
27.6%

Oxford United
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

28.2%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

28.9%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	10%	50%

Northampton Town - Oxford United Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Oxford will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oxford: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Thompson M. (G) 3. McGowan A. (C) 6. Sherring S. 15. Willis J. 33. Brough P. 11. Pinnock M. 17. McWilliams S. 21. Leonard M. 4. Sowerby J. 7. Hoskins S. 19. Bowie K.	1. Beadle J. (G) 15. Stevens F. 5. Moore E. 3. Brown C. 12. Bennett J. 7. Mills S. 18. McGuane M. 20. Rodrigues R. 8. Brannagan C. 23. Murphy J. 9. Harris M.
Substitutes
36. Dadge J. (G) 5. Guthrie J. 24. Haynes R. 23. Hondermarck W. 10. Hylton D. 22. Odimayo A. 16. Simpson T.	13. Eastwood S. (G) 19. Goodrham T. 17. Henry J. 6. McEachran J. 39. O'Donkor G. 14. Smyth O. 4. Thorniley J.
Coaches
Brady J.	Buckingham D.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Northampton won 2.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Oxford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Oxford will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Northampton won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Northampton won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northampton Town
English League One
16.12.23	Carlisle United - Northampton Town	2:2 ✺
09.12.23	Northampton Town - Fleetwood Town	3:0 ✺
02.12.23	Northampton Town - Portsmouth	0:3 ✺
28.11.23	Blackpool - Northampton Town	1:2 ✺
25.11.23	Northampton Town - Cambridge United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 TWLWW
- Oxford United
English League One
16.12.23	Oxford United - Burton Albion	3:0 ✺
12.12.23	Reading - Oxford United	1:1 ✺
09.12.23	Peterborough United - Oxford United	3:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
05.12.23	Forest Green Rovers - Oxford United	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
02.12.23	Oxford United - Grimsby Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
05.09.23	Northampton Town - Oxford United	1:3
English League One
23.03.21	Northampton Town - Oxford United	1:0
15.12.20	Oxford United - Northampton Town	4:0
English EFL Trophy
09.10.18	Oxford United - Northampton Town	1:2
English League One
24.02.18	Northampton Town - Oxford United	0:0
11.11.17	Oxford United - Northampton Town	1:2
25.03.17	Northampton Town - Oxford United	0:0

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