Match Info

Championship - Round 38

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Kassam Stadium (Oxford)

Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Oxford United		Charlton Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.27	3.2	3.34
	2.28	3.29	3.45
	2.2	3.28	3.4	Watch
	2.2	3	3.3
	2.21	3.18	3.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.38)	3.19 ↓ (3.27)	3.35 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford United
42.4%

Draw
29.5%

Charlton Athletic
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

29.1%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

29%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	27.8%	55.6%

Oxford United - Charlton Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Charlton will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Charlton: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Charlton Athletic will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cumming J. (G) 2. Long S. 6. Helik M. 3. Brown C. 26. Currie J. 5. Konak Y. E. 8. Brannagan C. (C) 17. Mills S. 33. Donley J. 10. Emakhu A. 27. Lankshear W.	25. Mannion W. (G) 2. Ramsay K. 5. Jones L. 17. Bell A. 44. Clarke H. 14. Carey S. 6. Coventry C. 10. Docherty G. (C) 19. Chambers L. 11. Leaburn M. 7. Campbell T.
Substitutes
9. Harris M. 21. Ingram M. (G) 32. Jeon Jin-Woo 37. Makosso C. 38. McDonnell J. 7. Placheta P. 16. Prelec N. 15. Spencer B. 4. Vaulks W.	15. Coady C. 77. Fevrier J. 37. Fullah I. 3. Gillesphey M. 36. Gough K. 1. Kaminski T. (G) 23. Kelman C. 20. Mitchell Z. 26. Rankin-Costello J.
Coaches
Bloomfield M.	Jones N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Chambers L. 🟨,
38', Helik M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Clarke H. 🟨,
57', 1 - 0, Brannagan C. (Penalty Awarded),
60', Ramsay K. ↓, Kelman C. ↑,
64', Emakhu A. ↓, Placheta P. ↑,
64', Konak Y. E. ↓, McDonnell J. ↑,
67', Bell A. 🟨,
68', Coventry C. ↓, Fevrier J. ↑,
77', Mills S. 🟨,
77', Donley J. ↓, Spencer B. ↑,
77', Lankshear W. ↓, Prelec N. ↑,
82', Docherty G. ↓, Fullah I. ↑,
82', Chambers L. ↓, Rankin-Costello J. ↑,
84', Mills S. ↓, Vaulks W. ↑,
90+1', Brown C. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, Kelman C. (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', Rankin-Costello J. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 3.

Oxford is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Charlton's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Charlton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Oxford might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Oxford: De Keersmaecker B. (Injury) Goodrham T. (Injury) Leigh G. (Inactive)

There will not play in Charlton: Edwards J. (Ankle Injury) Godden M. (Hamstring Injury) Knibbs H. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Charlton: Berry L. (Inactive) Burke R. (Injury) Kaminski T. (Inactive) Sichenje C. (Inactive)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:24. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Oxford won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Charlton: 0.75%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Charlton	9	3	4	2	8:11	-3	13

Last Results with these Odds

Charlton Athletic - the odds 3.07 are the expected chance of winning is 30.97%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford United
English League Championship
11.03.26	Oxford United - Blackburn Rovers	1:0 ✺
06.03.26	Preston North End - Oxford United	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Oxford United - West Bromwich Albion	2:1 ✺
25.02.26	Stoke City - Oxford United	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Middlesbrough - Oxford United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 WWWLT
- Charlton Athletic
English League Championship
11.03.26	Middlesbrough - Charlton Athletic	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Charlton Athletic - Birmingham City	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Charlton Athletic - Wrexham	0:1 ✺
24.02.26	West Bromwich Albion - Charlton Athletic	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Southampton - Charlton Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
20.12.25	Charlton Athletic - Oxford United	1:0
English League One
01.01.24	Charlton Athletic - Oxford United	1:2
26.08.23	Oxford United - Charlton Athletic	2:1
29.12.22	Oxford United - Charlton Athletic	3:1
01.10.22	Charlton Athletic - Oxford United	1:1
19.02.22	Charlton Athletic - Oxford United	0:4
14.08.21	Oxford United - Charlton Athletic	2:1

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