The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Plymouth Argyle 20.9%
Draw 24.2%
Swansea City 54.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.2%
27.6%
44.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28%
27.4%
44.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Plymouth Argyle's form might have worsened.
Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Swansea City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Plymouth Argyle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Swansea City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
4.8%
81%
Plymouth Argyle - Swansea City Predictions
Users Predictions:
Swansea City will win
(34 of 41 users predict this - 82.93%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 94.45%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Grimshaw D. (G) 6. Szucs K. 17. Gibson L. (C) 22. Galloway B. 3. Ogbeta N. 20. Randell A. 18. Gyabi D. 15. Bundu M. 11. Wright C. 2. Mumba B. 19. Gray A.
22. Vigouroux L. (G) 2. Key J. 5. Cabango B. 6. Darling H. 14. Tymon J. 4. Fulton J. 8. Grimes M. (C) 25. Peart-Harris M. 20. Cullen L. 10. Eom J. 19. Bianchini F.
Substitutes
28. Al Hajj R. 39. Finn T. 27. Forshaw A. 9. Hardie R. 21. Hazard C. (G) 4. Houghton J. 14. Obafemi M. 44. Palsson V. 5. Pleguezuelo J.
32. Abbey N. 47. Abdulai A. 23. Christie C. 17. Franco G. 33. McLaughlin J. (G) 26. Naughton K. 35. Ronald 21. Tjoe a On N. 9. Vipotnik Z.
Coaches
Rooney W.
Williams L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Key J. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Fulton J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 0 - 2, Cullen L. ⚽, Peart-Harris M. (A),
61', Ogbeta N. ↓, Obafemi M. ↑,
66', Gray A. ↓, Hardie R. ↑,
66', Eom J. ↓, Ronald ↑,
67', Bianchini F. ↓, Vipotnik Z. ↑,
75', Key J. ↓, Christie C. ↑,
76', Tymon J. ↓, Naughton K. ↑,
76', Fulton J. ↓, Franco G. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Bundu M. ⚽,
80', Bundu M. ↓, Al Hajj R. ↑,
90+3', Peart-Harris M. 🟨,
90+4', Vipotnik Z. 🟨,
Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 13).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Plymouth won 1.
Two teams are playing changeable.
Swansea could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Swansea is a favorite.
There will not play in Plymouth: Cissoko I.
(Groin Injury)
Edwards J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Galloway B.
(Ankle Injury)
Hardie R.
(Groin Injury)
Hazard C.
(Injury)
Tijani M.
(Leg Injury)
Whittaker M.
(Leg Injury)
There will not play in Swansea: Cooper O.
(Foot Injury)
Fisher A.
(Groin Injury)
Ginnelly J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Parker S.
(Muscle Injury)
Last 6 head-to-head matches Plymouth won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:14 (average 0.8:2.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Plymouth won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:10 (average 0.8:2.5).
Hungary
United-kingdom
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Grimshaw D. (G) 
Szucs K. 
Galloway B. 
Bundu M. 
Gray A. 
Vigouroux L. (G) 
Cabango B. 
Fulton J. 
Eom J. 
Bianchini F. 
Al Hajj R. 
Hazard C. (G) 
Obafemi M. 
Palsson V. 
Pleguezuelo J. 
Franco G. 
Ronald 
Tjoe a On N. 
Vipotnik Z. 
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