Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 13 August 2026, Thursday

Location: A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn)

Referee: Ilic P. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Estonia	Soccernet TV


	Flora Tallinn		Inter Escaldes

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	3.9
	1.73	3.60	4.10
	1.72	3.65	4.25	Watch
	1.82	3.79	3.92
	1.82	3.78	4.02	Watch
	1.76	3.75	3.75
	1.87	3.88	4.04	Watch
	1.78	3.65	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.84)	3.7 ↑ (3.63)	4.01 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flora Tallinn
51.8%

Draw
25%

Inter Escaldes
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

25.4%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

24.6%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flora Tallinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Inter Escaldes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flora Tallinn than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Escaldes than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.2%	26.3%	10.5%

Flora Tallinn - Inter Escaldes Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Flora will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Inter Escaldes will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flora: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Flora (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Inter Escaldes (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Flora (votes: 1 - 50%). Inter Escaldes (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Grunvald E. (G) 7. Kuraksin D. 23. Kolobov M. 3. Kollo A. 26. Tovstik S. 14. Varjund T. 32. Kreida V. 9. Alliku R. (C) 20. Zenjov S. 11. Sappinen R. 29. Alamaa S.	13. Diaz J. (G) 24. Pochettino M. 2. Hernandez A. H. 4. Sanchez A. (C) 3. Torres J. 8. David Lopez 14. Otegui A. 19. Modric 11. Berlanga D. 9. Chouaib F. 31. Soule
Substitutes
67. Antonov I. 4. Jekimov M. 89. Kalimullin M. 99. Kivila K. (G) 51. Kukkonen M. 24. Pihela O. 53. Sammul R. 22. Tatrik A. (G) 8. Teevali T. 17. Usta T. 18. Valdmets R.	6. Alonso V. 70. Arellano B. 1. Becerra J. (G) 7. Camara J. 17. Dacu 23. Diaby L. 20. Jurado M. 21. Rodriguez M.
Coaches
Vasiliev K.	Ortiz F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Berlanga D. 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Modric ⚽,
20', Pochettino M. 🟨,
33', Kolobov M. 🟨,
37', Kollo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
55', Zenjov S. 🟨,
58', Berlanga D. ↓, Arellano B. ↑,
67', Tovstik S. ↓, Usta T. ↑,
69', 0 - 2, Chouaib F. ⚽, Soule (A),
75', Alamaa S. 🟨,
75', Varjund T. ↓, Kalimullin M. ↑,
75', Kreida V. ↓, Antonov I. ↑,
77', 0 - 3, Arellano B. ⚽, David Lopez (A),
81', 0 - 4, Chouaib F. ⚽,
81', Modric ↓, Diaby L. ↑,
81', Soule ↓, Dacu ↑,
81', David Lopez ↓, Alonso V. ↑,
81', Kuraksin D. ↓, Pihela O. ↑,
81', Alliku R. ↓, Teevali T. ↑,
85', Chouaib F. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 0-2.

Recent performances by Flora have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Inter Escaldes is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Flora may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Flora is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Flora won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Outrights of UEFA Europa Conference League for now

Inter Escaldes: 0.08%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flora Tallinn
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	Inter Escaldes - Flora Tallinn	2:0 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
02.08.26	Flora Tallinn - Harju JK Laagri	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	The New Saints - Flora Tallinn	1:1 penalties ✺
23.07.26	Flora Tallinn - The New Saints	1:0 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
17.07.26	Flora Tallinn - Nõmme United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWWL
- Inter Escaldes
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	Inter Escaldes - Flora Tallinn	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Sabadell - Inter Escaldes	1:0 ✺
24.07.26	FC Andorra - Inter Escaldes	5:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.07.26	Inter Escaldes - Lincoln Red Imps	1:1 ✺
07.07.26	Lincoln Red Imps - Inter Escaldes	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	Inter Escaldes - Flora Tallinn	2:0

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