The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fluminense 59.8%
Draw 24.8%
Ceará 15.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.1%
27.6%
16.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.2%
26.6%
15.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
7.1%
7.1%
Fluminense - Ceará Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Fluminense will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fluminense will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Fabio (G) 2. Samuel Xavier 3. Thiago Silva (C) 22. Freytes J. 6. Rene 8. Martinelli 35. Hercules 32. Acosta L. 17. Canobbio A. 99. John Kennedy 90. Serna K.
94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 70. Fabiano 3. Marllon (C) 23. Willian Machado 79. Matheus Bahia 25. Vinicius Zanocelo 97. Lourenco 29. Vina 27. Galeano A. 9. Pedro Raul 77. Fernandinho
Substitutes
5. Bernal F. 14. Cano G. 9. Everaldo 12. Fuentes G. 23. Guga 4. Ignacio 11. Keno 94. Otavio 28. Riquelme Felipe 7. Soteldo Y. 98. Vitor Eudes (G)
11. Aylon 33. Eder 88. Fernando Sobral 15. Gabriel Lacerda 10. Lucas Mugni 99. Lucca 30. Nicolas 17. Paulo Baya 7. Pedro Henrique 2. Ramos R. 1. Richard (G) 26. Richardson
Coaches
Zubeldia L.
Leo Conde
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Acosta L. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Rene ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hercules ↓, Bernal F. ↑,
46', Pedro Raul ↓, Pedro Henrique ↑,
46', Lourenco ↓, Richardson ↑,
52', Bernal F. 🟨,
61', Vina ↓, Lucas Mugni ↑,
62', Galeano A. ↓, Aylon ↑,
65', Serna K. ↓, Keno ↑,
65', John Kennedy ↓, Cano G. ↑,
76', Canobbio A. ↓, Riquelme Felipe ↑,
76', Fabio 🟨,
77', Richardson 🟨,
79', Fernandinho ↓, Paulo Baya ↑,
80', Riquelme Felipe 🟨,
81', Zubeldia L. 🟨,
84', Rene 🟨,
90+3', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
90+6', Acosta L. ↓, Lima ↑,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 3.
In recent matches, Fluminense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Ceará is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Fluminense is the undeniable favorite.
There will not play in Fluminense: Manoel
(Inactive)
PH Ganso
(Calf Injury)
There will not play in Ceará: Diego
(Injury)
Marcos Victor
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Fluminense: Nonato
(Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).