Match Info

FIFA Club World Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 8 July 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: MetLife Stadium (East Rutherford, NJ) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Afghanistan	23:30	Ariana, Solh Sports 1
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, DStv Now, New World Sport 1, Showmax, StarTimes App, Startimes Ganza, Startimes World Football, SuperSport Premier League, ZAP
Albania	21:00	DAZN, SuperSport 2
Angola	20:00	Z Sports 1
Argentina	16:00	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1, Mi Telefe App, Mi Telefe, Telefe
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Australia	05:00	DAZN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
Austria	21:00	DAZN
Belarus	22:00	DAZN, Okko Sport
Belgium	21:00	BNT News App, DAZN 1
Bolivia	15:00	AXS, Cotas, DAZN App, DAZN, ENTEL TV, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App, XDigital
Brazil	16:00	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:00	BNT 1, DAZN, Max Sport 3
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	15:00	DirecTV Sports
China	03:00	Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:00	DAZN, Win play, Win Sports
Costa Rica	13:00	TDMAX, Teletica 7
Croatia	21:00	DAZN
Cuba	15:00	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	22:00	DAZN
Czech Republic	21:00	DAZN, Nova Sport 5, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 4
Denmark	21:00	DAZN
Ecuador	14:00	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Teleamazonas
El Salvador	13:00	Canal 4, TCS GO
Finland	22:00	DAZN
France	21:00	DAZN 1, DAZN France, New World TV
Georgia	23:00	1TV
Germany	21:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	22:00	ANT 1 Greece, DAZN
Guatemala	13:00	Azteca Guatemala
Honduras	13:00	Deportes TV
Hong Kong	03:00	DAZN
Hungary	21:00	DAZN, M4 Sport
India	00:30	DAZN, FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	02:00	DAZN
Iran	22:30	Persiana Sports
Ireland	20:00	Shabake 3
Israel	22:00	5 LIVE Israel, 5 SPORT Israel
Italy	21:00	Canale 5, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, Infinity+
Japan	04:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	01:00	DAZN, Qazsport
Kosovo	21:00	ART Sport 1
Latvia	22:00	DAZN
Lithuania	22:00	DAZN
Malaysia	03:00	DAZN
Maldives	00:00	Medianet
Malta	21:00	TVM Sport+
Mexico	13:00	DAZN App, DAZN
Montenegro	21:00	TVCG 2
Mozambique	21:00	Startimes Mania
New Zealand	07:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nicaragua	13:00	Canal 13
Nigeria	20:00	DAZN
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	DAZN
Norway	21:00	DAZN, VG+
Panama	14:00	Nex
Paraguay	15:00	DAZN App, DAZN, SNT, Telefuturo, Tigo Sports+
Peru	14:00	DAZN App, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Philippines	03:00	DAZN
Poland	21:00	DAZN
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1, DAZN Portugal
Romania	22:00	DAZN, Pro TV, Voyo
Russia	22:00	DAZN
Serbia	21:00	DAZN
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	DAZN
South Africa	21:00	DAZN
South America	—	DGO Latin America
South Korea	04:00	Coupang Play, DAZN
Spain	21:00	DAZN Espana, Mitele Plus, TeleCinco
Sweden	21:00	DAZN
Switzerland	21:00	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	03:00	DAZN
Tajikistan	00:00	Varzish Sport
Thailand	02:00	DAZN
Turkey	22:00	DAZN Turkiye, Tabii, TRT 1
Ukraine	22:00	DAZN, Suspilne Sport
United Arab Emirates	23:00	DAZN
United Kingdom	20:00	Channel 5, DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	16:00	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1, Eventos Montecable, Flow, Montecable 1, NS Eventos, TCC 1, TCC 2
Usa	15:00	DAZN USA, TNT, truTV
Uzbekistan	00:00	DAZN, Futbol TV, Zor TV
Venezuela	15:00	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1, Inter, Televen
Vietnam	02:00	DAZN, FPT Play
International	19:00	Sport 24 Extra


	Fluminense		Chelsea

	1	X	2
	6	3.7	1.62	Watch
	5.25	3.7	1.68
	5.9	3.75	1.6
	6.28	3.83	1.63
	5	3.6	1.67
	6.35	3.83	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.8 ↑ (4.94)	3.74 ↓ (3.79)	1.65 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fluminense
16.5%

Draw
25.6%

Chelsea
58%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.4%

25.2%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

24.2%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.5%	10.1%	75.4%

Fluminense - Chelsea Predictions

Users Predictions: 66 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 9 - 13.6%). Chelsea will win (votes: 50 - 75.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 10.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 65.5% – 86.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

TQ, OT - Fluminense (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Fluminense (4.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Chelsea (1.77) (votes: 7 - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 6 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

DC - Fluminense (2.36) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DNB - Chelsea (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chelsea will win (32 of 37 users predict this - 86.49%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 52 Selected Experts predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 9 - 17.3%). Chelsea (votes: 41 - 78.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 3.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fabio (G) 4. Ignacio 3. Thiago Silva (C) 29. Thiago Santos 23. Guga 35. Hercules 5. Bernal F. 16. Nonato 6. Rene 21. Arias J. 14. Cano G.	1. Sanchez R. (G) 27. Gusto M. 23. Chalobah T. 4. Adarabioyo T. 3. Cucurella M. 25. Caicedo M. 10. Palmer C. 8. Fernandez E. (C) 7. Neto P. 20. Joao Pedro 18. Nkunku C.
Substitutes
17. Canobbio A. 9. Everaldo 12. Fuentes G. 37. Isaque Silva 11. Keno 19. Lavega J. 18. Lezcano R. 45. Lima 26. Manoel 77. Paulo Baya 10. PH Ganso 2. Samuel Xavier 90. Serna K. 7. Soteldo Y. 98. Vitor Eudes (G)	34. Acheampong J. 17. Andrey Santos 30. Anselmino A. 22. Dewsbury-Hall K. 32. George T. 38. Guiu M. 15. Jackson N. 24. James R. 12. Jorgensen F. (G) 11. Madueke N. 39. Penders M. (G) 19. Sarr M. 44. Slonina G. (G)
Coaches
Renato Gaucho	Maresca E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Joao Pedro ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Thiago Santos ↓, Keno ↑,
54', Cano G. ↓, Everaldo ↑,
56', 0 - 2, Joao Pedro ⚽, Fernandez E. (A),
59', Nonato 🟨,
60', Joao Pedro ↓, Jackson N. ↑,
66', Nonato ↓, Soteldo Y. ↑,
68', Neto P. ↓, Madueke N. ↑,
68', Gusto M. ↓, James R. ↑,
70', Bernal F. ↓, Lima ↑,
70', Hercules ↓, Canobbio A. ↑,
72', Soteldo Y. 🟨,
73', Sanchez R. 🟨,
86', Nkunku C. ↓, Dewsbury-Hall K. ↑,
86', Fernandez E. ↓, Andrey Santos ↑,

Preview

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Recently, Chelsea has had a series of away games.

In this match, Chelsea is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Fluminense: Freytes J. (Yellow Cards) Isaque Silva (Injury) Martinelli (Yellow Cards) Otavio (Achilles Tendon Injury) Riquelme Felipe (Injury)

There will not play in Chelsea: Castledine L. (Back Injury) Colwill L. (Yellow Cards) Delap L. (Yellow Cards) Fofana W. (Hamstring Injury) Gittens J. (Inactive) Kellyman O. (Hamstring Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Chelsea: Andrey Santos (Injury) Badiashile B. (Injury) Lavia R. (Muscle Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fluminense RJ
FIFA Club World Cup
04.07.25	Fluminense - Al-Hilal	2:1 ✺
30.06.25	Inter Milan - Fluminense	0:2 ✺
25.06.25	Mamelodi Sundowns - Fluminense	0:0 ✺
21.06.25	Fluminense - Ulsan HD	4:2 ✺
17.06.25	Fluminense - Borussia Dortmund	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WWTWT
- Chelsea
FIFA Club World Cup
04.07.25	Palmeiras - Chelsea	1:2 ✺
28.06.25	Benfica - Chelsea	1:4 ET ✺
24.06.25	Espérance ST - Chelsea	0:3 ✺
20.06.25	Flamengo - Chelsea	3:1 ✺
16.06.25	Chelsea - Los Angeles	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWLW

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