Match Info

FIFA Club World Cup - Round 2

Date: 20 June 2025, Friday

Location: Lincoln Financial Field (Philadelphia, PA)

Referee: Barton I. (Sal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Ariana
Africa	Azam Sports 2, DStv Now, Showmax, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League, ZAP
Albania	DAZN, SuperSport 2
Angola	Z Sports 1, Z Sports 2
Argentina	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1, Mi Telefe App, Mi Telefe, Telefe
Australia	DAZN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
Austria	DAZN
Belarus	DAZN, Okko Sport
Belgium	BNT News App, DAZN 1
Bolivia	AXS, Cotas, DAZN App, DAZN, ENTEL TV, Red Uno, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App, XDigital
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, Globoplay, Rede Globo, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	BNT 1, BNT 3, DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Cape-verde	TCV Internacional
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	DAZN
Comoros	ORTC
Costa-rica	TD +, TDMAX
Cote-d-ivoire	NCI
Croatia	DAZN
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN, Nova Sport 5, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 4
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Teleamazonas
El-salvador	Canal 4, TCS GO
Eswatini	Eswatini TV
Finland	DAZN, Veikkaus TV
France	DAZN 1, DAZN France
Georgia	1TV
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	ANT 1+, ANT 1 Greece, DAZN
Guatemala	Azteca Guatemala
Honduras	Deportes TV
Hong-kong	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN, Match 4
India	DAZN
Indonesia	DAZN
Ireland	DAZN Ireland
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, Infinity+, Italia 1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	DAZN
Kenya	Gotv
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
Malaysia	DAZN
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	TVM Sport+
Mauritius	MBC 11
Mexico	DAZN App, DAZN, VIX+, ViX Premium
Montenegro	TVCG 2
Mozambique	TV Miramar
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nicaragua	Canal 13
Nigeria	DAZN, Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN, VG+
Panama	Nex
Paraguay	DAZN App, DAZN, Tigo Sports+
Peru	America TV GO, America TV, DAZN App, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Philippines	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	DAZN, Pro Arena, Voyo
Russia	DAZN
Rwanda	Rwanda TV, Rwanda TV
Serbia	DAZN
Seyshelles	SBC 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	DAZN
South-africa	DAZN, SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play, DAZN
Spain	Cuatro, DAZN Espana, Mitele Plus
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Turkey	DAZN Turkiye, Tabii, TRT 1
Ukraine	DAZN, Suspilne Sport
United-arab-emirates	DAZN
United-kingdom	Channel 5, DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1, Flow, Montecable 1, NS Eventos, TCC 1
Usa	DAZN USA, Fubo Sports Network, TNT, truTV
Uzbekistan	DAZN, Zor TV
Venezuela	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1, Inter, Televen
Vietnam	DAZN, FPT Play
World	Sport 24, TyC Sports Internacional


	Flamengo		Chelsea

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.2	2.1	Watch
	3.5	3.1	2.2
	3.89	3.18	2.19
				Watch
	4.04	3.28	2.09
	5.4	4.3	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↓ (5.5)	3.41 ↓ (4.2)	2.04 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flamengo
23.7%

Draw
28.5%

Chelsea
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.1%

22.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

18.9%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Flamengo's performance.

Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chelsea might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.3%	24.6%	43.1%

Flamengo - Chelsea Predictions

Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Flamengo will win (votes: 21 - 33.9%). Chelsea will win (votes: 27 - 43.5%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 22.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 31.2% – 55.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 14 - 50%). Chelsea (votes: 9 - 32.1%). Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Flamengo (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 50%) .

DC - Flamengo (1.69) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

DNB - Flamengo (2.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Chelsea (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 34 Selected Experts predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 18 - 52.9%). Chelsea (votes: 11 - 32.4%). Tie (votes: 5 - 14.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rossi A. (G) 43. Wesley Franca 13. Danilo 4. Leo Pereira 6. Ayrton Lucas 5. Pulgar E. 21. Jorginho 8. Gerson (C) 10. de Arrascaeta G. 7. Luiz Araujo 50. Plata G.	1. Sanchez R. (G) 27. Gusto M. 23. Chalobah T. 6. Colwill L. 3. Cucurella M. 24. James R. (C) 25. Caicedo M. 8. Fernandez E. 10. Palmer C. 9. Delap L. 7. Neto P.
Substitutes
26. Alex Sandro 29. Allan 27. Bruno Henrique 11. Everton 52. Evertton Araujo 61. Joao Victor 23. Juninho 3. Leo Ortiz 25. Matheus Cunha (G) 20. Matheus Goncalves 30. Michael 9. Pedro 2. Varela G. 17. Vina M. 64. Wallace Yan	34. Acheampong J. 4. Adarabioyo T. 17. Andrey Santos 30. Anselmino A. 5. Badiashile B. 22. Dewsbury-Hall K. 14. Essugo D. 32. George T. 38. Guiu M. 15. Jackson N. 12. Jorgensen F. (G) 45. Lavia R. 11. Madueke N. 18. Nkunku C. 19. Sarr M.
Coaches
Filipe Luis	Maresca E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Caicedo M. 🟨,
13', 0 - 1, Neto P. ⚽,
23', Neto P. 🟨,
45+2', Delap L. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
56', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Bruno Henrique ⚽, Plata G. (A),
64', Delap L. ↓, Jackson N. ↑,
64', James R. ↓, Lavia R. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Danilo ⚽, Bruno Henrique (A),
68', Jackson N. 🟥,
74', Gerson 🟨,
82', Gerson ↓, Wallace Yan ↑,
82', Wesley Franca ↓, Varela G. ↑,
82', Palmer C. ↓, Guiu M. ↑,
82', Fernandez E. ↓, Madueke N. ↑,
83', 3 - 1, Wallace Yan ⚽, Plata G. (A),
85', Pulgar E. 🟨,
90+2', Plata G. 🟨,
90+2', Luiz Araujo ↓, Pedro ↑,
90+2', Plata G. ↓, Michael ↑,

Preview

Flamengo is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Chelsea is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Flamengo has had a series of home games.

Chelsea is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Chelsea: Castledine L. (Back Injury) Fofana W. (Hamstring Injury) Kellyman O. (Hamstring Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flamengo RJ
FIFA Club World Cup
16.06.25	Flamengo - Espérance ST	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
01.06.25	Flamengo - Fortaleza	5:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.05.25	Flamengo - Deportivo Táchira	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
25.05.25	Palmeiras - Flamengo	0:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
21.05.25	Flamengo - Botafogo PB	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWWW
- Chelsea
FIFA Club World Cup
16.06.25	Chelsea - Los Angeles	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.05.25	Betis - Chelsea	1:4 ✺
English Premier League
25.05.25	Nottingham Forest - Chelsea	0:1 ✺
16.05.25	Chelsea - Manchester United	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Newcastle United - Chelsea	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWL

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