Match Info

FIFA Club World Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 July 2025, Friday

Location: Lincoln Financial Field (Philadelphia, PA)

Referee: Faghani A. (Irn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Ariana
Africa	Azam Sports 2, DStv Now, New World Sport 1, Showmax, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League, ZAP
Albania	DAZN, SuperSport 2
Argentina	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Mi Telefe
Australia	DAZN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
Austria	DAZN
Belarus	DAZN, Okko Sport
Belgium	BNT News App, DAZN 1
Bolivia	AXS, Cotas, DAZN App, DAZN, ENTEL TV, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App, XDigital
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	BNT 1, DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	DAZN
Costa-rica	TDMAX, Teletica 7
Croatia	DAZN
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN, Nova Sport 3, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 4
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Teleamazonas
El-salvador	Canal 4, TCS GO
Finland	DAZN, Veikkaus TV
France	DAZN 1, DAZN France, New World TV
Georgia	1TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Guatemala	Azteca Guatemala
Honduras	Deportes TV, Telecadena 7 y 4
Hong-kong	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN, M4 Sport
India	DAZN, FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	DAZN
Iran	Persiana Sports
Ireland	DAZN Ireland, Shabake 3
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	DAZN, Qazsport
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
Malaysia	DAZN
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	TVM Sport+
Mexico	DAZN App, DAZN
Montenegro	TVCG 2
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nicaragua	Canal 13
Nigeria	DAZN, Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN, VG+
Panama	Nex
Paraguay	DAZN App, DAZN, SNT, Telefuturo, Tigo Sports+
Peru	DAZN App, DirecTV Sports
Philippines	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN Portugal
Romania	DAZN, Voyo
Russia	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	DAZN
South-africa	DAZN, SuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	DGO Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play, DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Turkey	DAZN Turkiye, Tabii, TRT 1, TRT Spor
Uganda	Sanyuka TV
Ukraine	DAZN, Suspilne Sport
United-arab-emirates	DAZN
United-kingdom	Channel 5, DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Eventos Montecable, Flow, Montecable 1, NS Eventos, TCC 1, TCC 2
Usa	DAZN USA, truTV
Uzbekistan	DAZN, Zor TV
Venezuela	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter, Televen
Vietnam	DAZN, FPT Play
World	Sport 24


	Palmeiras		Chelsea

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.3	1.91	Watch
	3.75	3.25	2.05
	4.25	3.35	1.9
	4.68	3.35	1.97
				Watch
	3.6	3.2	2.1
	4.68	3.38	1.92
	3.8	3.25	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.16 ↑ (3.47)	3.3 ↓ (3.41)	1.99 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palmeiras
23%

Draw
29%

Chelsea
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

28.1%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

28.4%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.6%	14.8%	71.6%

Palmeiras - Chelsea Predictions

Users Predictions: 83 users predict this event. Palmeiras will win (votes: 10 - 12%). Chelsea will win (votes: 60 - 72.3%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 15.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 62.7% – 81.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

TQ, OT - Chelsea (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Chelsea (1.65) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Chelsea (2.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Palmeiras (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Palmeiras (2.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Palmeiras (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chelsea will win (29 of 37 users predict this - 78.38%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 50 Selected Experts predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 8 - 16%). Chelsea (votes: 38 - 76%). Tie (votes: 4 - 8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Weverton (C) 4. Giay A. 13. Micael 3. Bruno Fuchs 6. Vanderlan 8. Rios R. 32. Martinez E. 40. Allan 17. Torres F. 41. Estevao 9. Vitor Roque	1. Sanchez R. (G) 27. Gusto M. 23. Chalobah T. 6. Colwill L. 3. Cucurella M. 17. Andrey Santos 18. Nkunku C. 8. Fernandez E. (C) 7. Neto P. 9. Delap L. 10. Palmer C.
Substitutes
43. Benedetti 7. Felipe Anderson 42. Flaco Lopez 30. Lucas Evangelista 31. Luighi 14. Marcelo Lomba (G) 2. Marcos Rocha 1. Mateus Oliveira (G) 18. Mauricio 12. Mayke 5. Moreno A. 34. Naves 10. Paulinho 23. Raphael Veiga 39. Thalys	34. Acheampong J. 4. Adarabioyo T. 30. Anselmino A. 22. Dewsbury-Hall K. 14. Essugo D. 32. George T. 38. Guiu M. 15. Jackson N. 20. Joao Pedro 12. Jorgensen F. (G) 11. Madueke N. 39. Penders M. (G) 19. Sarr M. 44. Slonina G. (G)
Coaches
Abel Ferreira	Maresca E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Palmer C. ⚽, Chalobah T. (A),
41', Gusto M. 🟨,
45+2', Delap L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 1 - 1, Estevao ⚽, Rios R. (A),
54', Nkunku C. ↓, Madueke N. ↑,
54', Delap L. ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
66', Torres F. ↓, Paulinho ↑,
66', Allan ↓, Mauricio ↑,
76', Martinez E. ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
76', Vitor Roque ↓, Flaco Lopez ↑,
78', Rios R. 🟨,
83', 1 - 2, Weverton (Own goal),
85', Rios R. ↓, Raphael Veiga ↑,
86', Colwill L. 🟨,
87', Neto P. ↓, Dewsbury-Hall K. ↑,
90+1', Andrey Santos ↓, Essugo D. ↑,

Preview

In recent matches, Palmeiras has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chelsea is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Chelsea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Chelsea has had a series of away games.

Chelsea is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues (Knee Injury) Figueiredo (Inactive) Gomez G. (Red Card) Murilo (Thigh Injury) Piquerez J. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Chelsea: Caicedo M. (Yellow Cards) Castledine L. (Back Injury) Fofana W. (Hamstring Injury) Kellyman O. (Hamstring Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Chelsea: Badiashile B. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Palmeiras won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palmeiras
FIFA Club World Cup
28.06.25	Palmeiras - Botafogo RJ	1:0 ET ✺
23.06.25	Inter Miami - Palmeiras	2:2 ✺
19.06.25	Palmeiras - Al Ahly Cairo	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Palmeiras - Porto	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
01.06.25	Cruzeiro - Palmeiras	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTWTL
- Chelsea
FIFA Club World Cup
28.06.25	Benfica - Chelsea	1:4 ET ✺
24.06.25	Espérance ST - Chelsea	0:3 ✺
20.06.25	Flamengo - Chelsea	3:1 ✺
16.06.25	Chelsea - Los Angeles	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.05.25	Betis - Chelsea	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA Club World Cup
12.02.22	Chelsea - Palmeiras	2:1 ET

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