Match Info

BRAZIL: Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Round 1

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Brasileirao Play, Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
South-america	Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
World	Fanatiz


	Fluminense		Sampaio Corrêa FE

	1	X	2
	1.58	4	5.25
	1.62	4	5
	1.53	4.2	5.1
	1.55	3.75	5.5
	1.6	4.64	5.08	Watch
	1.62	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.42)	4.1 ↓ (4.89)	5.16 ↓ (6.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fluminense
59%

Draw
22.8%

Sampaio Corrêa FE
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

19.1%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fluminense's form might have worsened.

Sampaio Corrêa FE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Fluminense - Sampaio Corrêa FE Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Vitor Eudes (G)
13. Andrade F.
37. Isaque
99. Joao Neto
26. Manoel (C)
55. Nunes W.
77. Paulo Baya
47. Rafael Monteiro
28. Riquelme Felipe
40. Schuindt D.
42. Thiago
Substitutes
46. Borges K.
52. Britez da Rocha Cunha B. d. S.
33. Cintra G.
41. da Silva Ferreira L. F.
53. Esquerdinha
51. Gomes Martins R.
50. Gustavo Ramalho (G)
70. Luan Brito
56. Marcao
48. Marlon
30. Melo D.
54. Oliver
Coaches
. Mano Menezes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Luan Gama 🟨,
41', Rafael Pernao 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gabriel Agu ↓, Rodrigo Dantas ↑,
58', Manoel 🟨,
63', Elias ↓, Cruz Manhaes O. ↑,
63', Max ↓, Igor Goularte ↑,
63', Daniel Vancan ↓, Lucas Carvalho ↑,
83', Eliandro ↓, Matheus Iacovelli ↑,
86', Isaque ↓, Luan Brito ↑,
90', Rafael Monteiro 🟨,
90+2', Riquelme Felipe ↓, Esquerdinha ↑,

Preview

Fluminense is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Fluminense is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Including matches at home between the teams Fluminense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fluminense RJ
Brazilian Serie A
08.12.24	Palmeiras - Fluminense	0:1 ✺
05.12.24	Fluminense - Cuiabá	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	Athletico Paranaense - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
26.11.24	Fluminense - Criciúma	0:0 ✺
22.11.24	Fluminense - Fortaleza	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WWTTT
- Sampaio Corrêa FE
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
17.03.24	Botafogo RJ - Sampaio Corrêa FE	2:1 ✺
10.03.24	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Botafogo RJ	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Audax Rio - Sampaio Corrêa FE	0:4 ✺
25.02.24	Boavista - Sampaio Corrêa FE	3:2 ✺
20.02.24	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Bangu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
08.02.24	Fluminense - Sampaio Corrêa FE	1:0

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