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Current Win Probability
Fluminense 54.5%
Draw 27.3%
Sport Recife 18.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.5%
25.3%
20.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.6%
24.8%
19.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Fluminense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Fluminense - Sport Recife Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.75 - Fluminense (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Fluminense will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fluminense will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 5 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Fabio (G) 2. Samuel Xavier 4. Ignacio 22. Freytes J. 12. Fuentes G. 8. Martinelli 35. Hercules 10. PH Ganso (C) 21. Arias J. 9. Everaldo 17. Canobbio A.
22. Caique Franca (G) 32. Hereda 6. Silva J. 44. Chico 16. Igor Carius 14. Rivera C. 58. Ze Lucas 20. Atencio R. 10. Lucas Lima (C) 30. Chrystian Barletta 92. Pablo
Substitutes
5. Bernal F. 23. Guga 19. Lavega J. 18. Lezcano R. 45. Lima 26. Manoel 16. Nonato 7. Renato Augusto 6. Rene 90. Serna K. 29. Thiago Santos 98. Vitor Eudes (G)
38. Arthur Sousa 17. Carlos Alberto 29. Dalbert 8. Dominguez F. 37. Du Queiroz 11. Gustavo Maia 77. Lenny Lobato 3. Lucas Cunha 33. Matheus Alexandre 59. Ortiz C. 91. Romarinho 12. Thiago Couto (G)
Coaches
Renato Gaucho
Miguel P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Pablo ⚽, Lucas Lima (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Canobbio A. ↓, Serna K. ↑,
55', Hercules ↓, Nonato ↑,
55', PH Ganso ↓, Lima ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Serna K. ⚽, Arias J. (A),
64', Atencio R. 🟨,
65', Atencio R. ↓, Lenny Lobato ↑,
65', Ze Lucas ↓, Du Queiroz ↑,
70', Martinelli ↓, Lezcano R. ↑,
77', Hereda 🟨,
82', Lucas Lima 🟨,
86', Pablo ↓, Carlos Alberto ↑,
86', Chrystian Barletta ↓, Arthur Sousa ↑,
88', Igor Carius ↓, Dalbert ↑,
90+3', Lima 🟨,
90+5', Caique Franca 🟨,
90+6', Carlos Alberto 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 1, Everaldo ⚽, Arias J. (A),
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 3.
Recent performances by Fluminense have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Recife is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Recife may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Fluminense is the team to beat.
There will not play in Fluminense: Isaque Silva
(Knee Injury)
Otavio
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Renato Augusto
(Shoulder Injury)
Riquelme Felipe
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Recife: Rafael Thyere
(Injury)
There are questionable in Fluminense: Cano G.
(Injury)
Thiago Silva
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Recife: Dalbert
(Calf Injury)
Oliveira S.
(Inactive)
Pablo
(Ankle Injury)
Paciencia G.
(Injury)
Ze Roberto
(Knee Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:14. (average 1.3:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:3. (average 1.4:0.4).
Brazil
China
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Fabio (G) 
Freytes J. 
Fuentes G. 
Canobbio A. 
Silva J. 
Lezcano R. 
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