Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 19

Date: 15 January 2023, Sunday


	Folgore Caratese		Sona

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.4
	2	3.1	3.5
	1.92	3.01	3.36
	2	2.9	3.5
	1.96	3.28	3.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.92)	3.06 ↑ (3.01)	3.46 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Folgore Caratese
45.1%

Draw
29.1%

Sona
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

28.9%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

22.8%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Folgore Caratese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Sona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folgore Caratese than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Folgore Caratese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sona than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Folgore Caratese - Sona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Folgore Caratese will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Folgore Caratese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Folgore Caratese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Folgore Caratese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group B
08.01.23	Lumezzane - Folgore Caratese	3:0 ✺
21.12.22	Folgore Caratese - Caronnese	3:0 ✺
18.12.22	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Folgore Caratese	2:1 ✺
11.12.22	Folgore Caratese - Varese	1:2 ✺
04.12.22	Arconatese - Folgore Caratese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLT
- Sona Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
08.01.23	Sona - Desenzano Calvina	2:3 ✺
21.12.22	Sona - Ponte San Pietro Isola	0:3 ✺
17.12.22	Real Calepina - Sona	3:1 ✺
11.12.22	Varesina - Sona	0:0 ✺
04.12.22	Sona - Seregno	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
11.09.22	Sona - Folgore Caratese	2:0
16.02.22	Folgore Caratese - Sona	4:1
10.10.21	Sona - Folgore Caratese	2:1

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