Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 32

Date: 16 April 2024, Tuesday


	Folkestone Invicta		Concord Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.5	5.25
	1.45	4.5	5.5
	1.48	4.72	5.14
	1.49	4.72	5.14
	1.5	4.5	4.5
	1.46	4.4	5.91
	1.45	4.5	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.96)	4.55 ↑ (3.56)	5.28 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Folkestone Invicta
62.5%

Draw
20.1%

Concord Rangers
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

25.6%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

24.4%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Folkestone Invicta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Folkestone Invicta's performance.

Concord Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Concord Rangers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folkestone Invicta than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Folkestone Invicta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concord Rangers than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Concord Rangers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Day H. ⚽,
76', 1 - 1, Sanogo S. ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Concord could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Folkestone will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Folkestone won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Folkestone Invicta
English Isthmian League Premier Division
13.04.24	Chatham Town - Folkestone Invicta	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Folkestone Invicta - Horsham	3:1 ✺
01.04.24	Hastings United - Folkestone Invicta	2:1 ✺
29.03.24	Folkestone Invicta - Lewes	3:1 ✺
24.03.24	Cray Wanderers - Folkestone Invicta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWLWW
- Concord Rangers
English Isthmian League Premier Division
13.04.24	Hashtag United - Concord Rangers	2:3 ✺
09.04.24	Whitehawk - Concord Rangers	4:0 ✺
06.04.24	Concord Rangers - Wingate & Finchley	0:2 ✺
01.04.24	Billericay Town - Concord Rangers	2:0 ✺
29.03.24	Concord Rangers - Carshalton Athletic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
30.09.23	Concord Rangers - Folkestone Invicta	2:1

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