Match Info

National League - Round 46

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: The New Lawn (Nailsworth)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	DAZN
Argentina	DAZN
Australia	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belarus	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Colombia	DAZN
Croatia	DAZN
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Hong-kong	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN
India	DAZN
Indonesia	DAZN
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	DAZN
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
Malaysia	DAZN
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	DAZN
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN
Paraguay	DAZN
Philippines	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	DAZN
Russia	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovenia	DAZN
South-africa	DAZN
South-korea	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Ukraine	DAZN
United-arab-emirates	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	DAZN
Venezuela	DAZN
Vietnam	DAZN


	Forest Green Rovers		Morecambe

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.25	7.5
	1.32	5.25	6.25
	1.33	5.5	6.9
	1.31	5.89	7.41
	1.35	5.35	7.16	Watch
	1.3	5	7
	1.26	5.45	8.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.45)	5.38 ↑ (4.78)	7.2 ↑ (5.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Forest Green Rovers
70.2%

Draw
17.1%

Morecambe
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

19.4%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

18.6%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forest Green Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Forest Green Rovers's performance.

Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Forest Green Rovers - Morecambe Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Forest Green (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Forest Green (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Pagel F. (G) 6. Mendy L. 15. Moore-Taylor J. (C) 24. Buyabu J. 14. Clarke J. 18. Campbell T. 11. Knowles T. 21. Pemberton T. 7. McAllister K. 28. Etaluku S. 44. Mellor D.	41. Boney M. (G) 3. Conte R. 33. Akindileni T. 28. Fogarty T. 16. Hogan L. 7. Edwards G. 24. Songo'o Y. (C) 17. Lewis P. 18. Tollitt B. 36. Nolan J. 31. Wright O.
Substitutes
9. Doidge C. 8. Haughton N. 42. Isted H. (G) 3. Kengni N. 25. Kircough G. 26. Nwoko C. 45. Rees R.	10. Cain J. 19. Campbell M. 27. Fairclough A. 12. Jameson K. 23. Ogwuru D. 42. Popov C. 25. Scales A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Buyabu J. ⚽, Clarke J. (A),
23', 2 - 0, McAllister K. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
54', Moore-Taylor J. ↓, Kircough G. ↑,
54', Etaluku S. ↓, Haughton N. ↑,
56', 3 - 0, Kircough G. ⚽, Clarke J. (A),
60', Mellor D. ↓, Doidge C. ↑,
65', Buyabu J. ↓, Kengni N. ↑,
65', McAllister K. ↓, Rees R. ↑,
65', Nolan J. ↓, Fairclough A. ↑,
66', Wright O. ↓, Ogwuru D. ↑,
66', Songo'o Y. ↓, Cain J. ↑,
70', Lewis P. ↓, Jameson K. ↑,
78', 4 - 0, Rees R. ⚽, Pemberton T. (A),
82', Tollitt B. ↓, Campbell M. ↑,
83', 5 - 0, Rees R. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Forest Green is Qualified for National League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Morecambe is Relegated to

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forest Green won 2.

Forest Green is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Morecambe's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Forest Green is the obvious favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Forest Green won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Forest Green won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Forest Green	11	4	3	4	17:18	-1	15

Last Results with these Odds

Morecambe - the odds 5.58 are the expected chance of winning is 16.62%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forest Green Rovers
English National League
18.04.26	Hartlepool United - Forest Green Rovers	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Forest Green Rovers - Braintree Town	3:1 ✺
06.04.26	Truro City - Forest Green Rovers	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Forest Green Rovers - Brackley Town	4:0 ✺
28.03.26	Eastleigh - Forest Green Rovers	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWTWW
- Morecambe
English National League
18.04.26	Morecambe - Boreham Wood	0:3 ✺
11.04.26	Woking - Morecambe	5:1 ✺
06.04.26	Morecambe - Carlisle United	2:2 ✺
03.04.26	Rochdale - Morecambe	2:4 ✺
28.03.26	Morecambe - Aldershot Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
02.09.25	Morecambe - Forest Green Rovers	1:3
English League Two
20.04.24	Morecambe - Forest Green Rovers	1:2
30.09.23	Forest Green Rovers - Morecambe	1:2
English League One
11.02.23	Morecambe - Forest Green Rovers	1:1
17.09.22	Forest Green Rovers - Morecambe	1:2
English League Two
09.03.21	Forest Green Rovers - Morecambe	2:2
24.10.20	Morecambe - Forest Green Rovers	1:2

Upcoming Matches