Match Info

National League - Round 45

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Victoria Park (Hartlepool)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Hartlepool United		Forest Green Rovers

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	2.15
	3.1	3.55	2.08
	3.08	3.66	2.25
	3.1	3.68	2.1	Watch
	3.1	3.5	2.05
	3.07	3.58	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (3.07)	3.58 ↑ (3.5)	2.13 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hartlepool United
30.3%

Draw
26%

Forest Green Rovers
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

26.4%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

25.9%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartlepool United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Forest Green Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Hartlepool United - Forest Green Rovers Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Forest Green (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Hayes N. (G) 2. Benn J. 5. Kouogun M. 6. McNally R. 3. John C. 10. Campbell A. 14. Sheron N. (C) 37. Sinclair T. 15. Hunter J. 18. Miley J. 19. Reid A.	42. Isted H. (G) 19. Mingi J. J. 15. Moore-Taylor J. (C) 6. Mendy L. 47. Ahmed A. 7. McAllister K. 28. Etaluku S. 45. Rees R. 8. Haughton N. 44. Mellor D. 24. Buyabu J.
Substitutes
35. Caton C. 28. Daly M. 17. Folarin S. 27. Oliver V. 4. Parkes T. 24. Smith-Sway J. 38. Walker B.	18. Campbell T. 14. Clarke J. 3. Kengni N. 11. Knowles T. 29. Mitchell K. 26. Nwoko C. 12. Pagel F. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Campbell A. ⚽, Reid A. (A),
45+1', 2 - 0, McNally R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Etaluku S. ↓, Knowles T. ↑,
56', Haughton N. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
64', Hunter J. 🟨,
65', Ahmed A. ↓, Mitchell K. ↑,
73', Campbell A. ↓, Daly M. ↑,
73', Reid A. ↓, Caton C. ↑,
77', Rees R. ↓, Kengni N. ↑,
77', Mingi J. J. ↓, Nwoko C. ↑,
81', Sinclair T. ↓, Smith-Sway J. ↑,
81', Miley J. ↓, Oliver V. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, McAllister K. ⚽, Knowles T. (A),
90+2', McAllister K. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Forest Green is Qualified for National League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Hartlepool has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Forest Green is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Hartlepool has had a series of away games.

Forest Green could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartlepool won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Hartlepool won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Forest Green	12	4	3	5	19:22	-3	15
20	Hartlepool	13	4	0	9	12:19	-7	12

Last Results with these Odds

Hartlepool United - the odds 3.07 are the expected chance of winning is 30.15%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartlepool United
English National League
11.04.26	Boreham Wood - Hartlepool United	3:0 ✺
06.04.26	Hartlepool United - Rochdale	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Scunthorpe United - Hartlepool United	0:0 ✺
31.03.26	Wealdstone - Hartlepool United	7:0 ✺
25.03.26	Morecambe - Hartlepool United	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTTLW
- Forest Green Rovers
English National League
11.04.26	Forest Green Rovers - Braintree Town	3:1 ✺
06.04.26	Truro City - Forest Green Rovers	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Forest Green Rovers - Brackley Town	4:0 ✺
28.03.26	Eastleigh - Forest Green Rovers	2:4 ✺
25.03.26	Tamworth - Forest Green Rovers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
06.09.25	Forest Green Rovers - Hartlepool United	1:0
05.05.25	Hartlepool United - Forest Green Rovers	1:1
28.09.24	Forest Green Rovers - Hartlepool United	1:0
English League Two
09.04.22	Forest Green Rovers - Hartlepool United	1:1
20.11.21	Hartlepool United - Forest Green Rovers	1:3

Hartlepool United - Forest Green Rovers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide