Match Info

National League - Round 41

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: The Mazuma Stadium (Morecambe)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Morecambe		Aldershot Town

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.9	2.25
	2.48	3.8	2.4
	2.59	4.05	2.39
	2.4	3.96	2.49	Watch
	2.5	3.75	2.38
	2.61	3.99	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.4)	3.91 ↑ (3.7)	2.37 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morecambe
36.9%

Draw
23.8%

Aldershot Town
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

24.9%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

24.3%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Aldershot Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	42.9%	28.6%

Morecambe - Aldershot Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Morecambe will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Aldershot will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Boney M. (G) 2. Payne L. 5. Dean H. 16. Hogan L. 33. Akindileni T. 24. Songo'o Y. (C) 17. Lewis P. 36. Nolan J. 8. Azeez M. 7. Edwards G. 42. Popov C.	41. Boyce-Clarke C. (G) 31. Sheckleford R. 25. Nightingale W. 15. Grogan C. 22. Scott O. 17. Henry J. 19. Hill R. (C) 7. Hargreaves C. 20. Stewart C. 24. Warren C. 11. Peart B.
Substitutes
28. Fogarty T. 12. Jameson K. 23. Ogwuru D. 20. Sangare M. 25. Scales A. (G) 32. Thomas G. 18. Tollitt B.	8. Frost T. 16. Nash P. (G) 27. Nelson T. 42. Penney M. 34. Tetek D. 9. Thomas K. 6. Widdrington T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
71', Henry J. ↓, Widdrington T. ↑,
73', Popov C. ↓, Ogwuru D. ↑,
74', Songo'o Y. ↓, Sangare M. ↑,
84', Lewis P. ↓, Thomas G. ↑,
84', Payne L. ↓, Tollitt B. ↑,
85', Stewart C. ↓, Thomas K. ↑,
87', 0 - 1, Thomas K. ⚽,
89', Sheckleford R. ↓, Tetek D. ↑,
89', Hargreaves C. 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 2, Hill R. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 18).

Morecambe has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aldershot is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Aldershot may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Morecambe won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Morecambe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Aldershot	13	5	3	5	18:16	2	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morecambe
English National League
25.03.26	Morecambe - Hartlepool United	2:3 ✺
21.03.26	Yeovil Town - Morecambe	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Morecambe - Braintree Town	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Sutton United - Morecambe	0:5 ✺
03.03.26	Wealdstone - Morecambe	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LLTWW
- Aldershot Town
English National League
24.03.26	Aldershot Town - Boreham Wood	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Woking - Aldershot Town	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Aldershot Town - York City	0:3 ✺
10.03.26	Aldershot Town - Carlisle United	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Forest Green Rovers - Aldershot Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
25.08.25	Aldershot Town - Morecambe	4:0
English League Two
12.02.13	Morecambe - Aldershot Town	2:1
15.09.12	Aldershot Town - Morecambe	0:0
03.03.12	Aldershot Town - Morecambe	N/A

Morecambe - Aldershot Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide