Match Info

National League - Round 41

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: The Mazuma Stadium (Morecambe) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	16:00	DAZN
Argentina	12:00	DAZN
Australia	02:00	DAZN
Austria	16:00	DAZN
Belarus	18:00	DAZN
Bolivia	11:00	DAZN
Brazil	12:00	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	17:00	DAZN
Canada	11:00	DAZN Canada
Colombia	10:00	DAZN
Croatia	16:00	DAZN
Cyprus	17:00	DAZN
Czech Republic	16:00	DAZN
Denmark	16:00	DAZN
Ecuador	10:00	DAZN
Finland	17:00	DAZN
France	16:00	DAZN France
Germany	16:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:00	DAZN
Hong Kong	23:00	DAZN
Hungary	16:00	DAZN
India	20:30	DAZN
Indonesia	22:00	DAZN
Italy	16:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	00:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	21:00	DAZN
Latvia	17:00	DAZN
Lithuania	17:00	DAZN
Malaysia	23:00	DAZN
Mexico	09:00	DAZN
New Zealand	04:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	16:00	DAZN
North Macedonia	16:00	DAZN
Norway	16:00	DAZN
Paraguay	11:00	DAZN
Philippines	23:00	DAZN
Poland	16:00	DAZN
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App
Romania	17:00	DAZN
Russia	18:00	DAZN
Serbia	16:00	DAZN
Slovenia	16:00	DAZN
South Africa	17:00	DAZN
South Korea	00:00	DAZN
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	DAZN
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	23:00	DAZN
Thailand	22:00	DAZN
Ukraine	17:00	DAZN
United Arab Emirates	19:00	DAZN
United Kingdom	15:00	DAZN
Uruguay	12:00	DAZN
Usa	11:00	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	20:00	DAZN
Venezuela	11:00	DAZN
Vietnam	22:00	DAZN


	Morecambe		Aldershot Town

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.9	2.25
	2.48	3.8	2.4
	2.59	4.05	2.39
	2.4	3.96	2.49	Watch
	2.5	3.75	2.38
	2.61	3.99	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.4)	3.91 ↑ (3.7)	2.37 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morecambe
36.9%

Draw
23.8%

Aldershot Town
39.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.3%

24.9%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

24.5%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Aldershot Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	42.9%	28.6%

Morecambe - Aldershot Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Morecambe will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Aldershot will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Boney M. (G) 2. Payne L. 5. Dean H. 16. Hogan L. 33. Akindileni T. 24. Songo'o Y. (C) 17. Lewis P. 36. Nolan J. 8. Azeez M. 7. Edwards G. 42. Popov C.	41. Boyce-Clarke C. (G) 31. Sheckleford R. 25. Nightingale W. 15. Grogan C. 22. Scott O. 17. Henry J. 19. Hill R. (C) 7. Hargreaves C. 20. Stewart C. 24. Warren C. 11. Peart B.
Substitutes
28. Fogarty T. 12. Jameson K. 23. Ogwuru D. 20. Sangare M. 25. Scales A. (G) 32. Thomas G. 18. Tollitt B.	8. Frost T. 16. Nash P. (G) 27. Nelson T. 42. Penney M. 34. Tetek D. 9. Thomas K. 6. Widdrington T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
71', Henry J. ↓, Widdrington T. ↑,
73', Popov C. ↓, Ogwuru D. ↑,
74', Songo'o Y. ↓, Sangare M. ↑,
84', Lewis P. ↓, Thomas G. ↑,
84', Payne L. ↓, Tollitt B. ↑,
85', Stewart C. ↓, Thomas K. ↑,
87', 0 - 1, Thomas K. ⚽,
89', Sheckleford R. ↓, Tetek D. ↑,
89', Hargreaves C. 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 2, Hill R. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 18).

Morecambe has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aldershot is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Aldershot may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Morecambe won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Morecambe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Aldershot	15	5	3	7	18:19	-1	18

Last Results with these Odds

Aldershot Town - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.8%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morecambe
English National League
25.03.26	Morecambe - Hartlepool United	2:3 ✺
21.03.26	Yeovil Town - Morecambe	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Morecambe - Braintree Town	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Sutton United - Morecambe	0:5 ✺
03.03.26	Wealdstone - Morecambe	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LLTWW
- Aldershot Town
English National League
24.03.26	Aldershot Town - Boreham Wood	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Woking - Aldershot Town	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Aldershot Town - York City	0:3 ✺
10.03.26	Aldershot Town - Carlisle United	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Forest Green Rovers - Aldershot Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
25.08.25	Aldershot Town - Morecambe	4:0
English League Two
12.02.13	Morecambe - Aldershot Town	2:1
15.09.12	Aldershot Town - Morecambe	0:0
03.03.12	Aldershot Town - Morecambe	N/A

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